Clinton's win still leaves her the underdog

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WASHINGTON — Exuding fresh confidence after her Pennsylvania primary win, Hillary Rodham Clinton turned attention Wednesday to contests in Indiana and North Carolina and pressed her case that she can still win the Democratic presidential nomination despite the odds against her.

In a round of morning television interviews, Clinton argued that her feisty act of political survival, defeating Barack Obama in Pennsylvania by more than nine points, confirms her contention that she would be the stronger challenger against Republican John McCain because she has shown she can win in big, swing states.

"At the end of the day, people have to decide who they think would be not only the best president, which is the most important question, but who would be the better candidate against Senator McCain. And I think the coalition that I've put together, as demonstrated once again last night, is a very strong base for us to beat Senator McCain," Clinton told NBC's "Today."

The New York senator also said she wants new debates before the May 6 contests in North Carolina, where the flush-with-money Obama is favored; and Indiana, where the two are close. Both candidates planned appearances in Indiana on Wednesday.

Obama managed to stave off an eyebrow-arching blowout in Pennsylvania by Clinton even while falling short in his effort to bring the polarizing competition effectively to a close. Despite his defeat, he gained the support of Oklahoma Gov. Brad Henry, a superdelegate to the national convention.

Clinton also picked up a superdelegate, Tennessee Rep. John Tanner. And, she had raised $3.5 million in the hours after her victory, and was on track to collect $10 million in the 24 hours since the polls closed in Pennsylvania. The campaign said it was her best fundraising day ever. Desperate to fight on against a flush Obama, Clinton could use the money.

Earlier this week, her campaign revealed it had just over $9 million in the bank at the end of March, matched by $10 million in debt. Obama began April with more than $40 million to spend.

Their Keystone state matchup was fierce and bitter, which seemed to harden attitudes among Democrats even as McCain tended to the unification of the GOP and campaigned across the country in preparation for the fall. Only half of each Democrat's supporters said they would be satisfied if the other Democrat won the nomination, according to interviews with voters as they left polling stations.

"After 14 long months, it's easy to forget what this campaign's about from time to time," Obama told an Evansville, Ind., rally, Tuesday night, obliquely conceding that the Pennsylvania race turned nasty.

"It's easy to get caught up in the distractions and the silliness and the tit-for-tat that consumes our politics, the bickering that none of us are entirely immune to, and it trivializes the profound issues: two wars, an economy in recession, a planet in peril, issues that confront our nation. That kind of politics is not why we are here tonight. It's not why I'm here, and it's not why you're here."

Obama wasted no time making tracks to Indiana. His plane was in the air when the primary was called in Clinton's favor, which he learned upon landing.

The Illinois senator trailed in opinion polls all along but had made up ground in the last few weeks, despite a series of inartful episodes in a campaign that once seemed smooth at every turn.

Clinton was winning 55 percent of the vote to 45 percent for Obama with 99 percent of the vote counted. She won the votes of blue-collar workers, women and white men in an election where the economy was the dominant concern. He was favored by blacks, the affluent and voters who recently switched to the Democratic Party, a group that comprised about one in 10 Pennsylvania voters, according to surveys conducted by The Associated Press and the TV networks.

Clinton won at least 81 delegates to the party's national convention, with seven still to be awarded, according to AP's analysis of election returns. Obama won at least 70. A final count could come Wednesday, or later.

Overall, Obama led with 1,719.5 delegates, including separately chosen party and elected officials known as superdelegates. Clinton had 1,591.5 delegates, according to the AP tally.

Obama also leads in the cumulative popular vote as well as the delegate chase, and there are not many opportunities left for Clinton to turn that around. Moreover, party leaders are growing impatient with the drawn-out struggle and have watched nervously as McCain, his nomination race long settled, has climbed in opinion polls.

Against those forces, Clinton clings to hope that she can persuade party superdelegates to swing behind her en masse.

"We're going to go through the next nine contests and I hope to do well in many of them ... but I'm confident that when delegates — as well as voters, like the voters of Pennsylvania just did — ask themselves who's the stronger candidate against John McCain that I will be the nominee of the Democratic party," Clinton told CNN Wednesday.

The keen interest in the primary was reflected at polling stations. Elections officials projected turnout among Pennsylvania's 8.3 million registered voters at 40 percent to 50 percent, double that of the state's primary four years ago.

Some of her aides conceded the Indiana contest in two weeks is another must-win challenge for her.

Obama reported spending more than $11 million on television in Pennsylvania, more than any place else. That compared with less than $5 million by Clinton.

Obama was forced on the defensive by incendiary comments by his former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, then got into hot water all by himself by saying small-town Americans cling to guns and religion because of their economic hardships.

For her part, Clinton conceded that she had not landed under sniper fire in Bosnia while first lady, even though she said several times that she had. And she replaced her chief strategist, Mark Penn, after he met with officials of the Colombian government seeking passage of a free trade agreement she opposes.

The remaining Democratic contests are primaries in North Carolina, Indiana, Oregon, Kentucky, West Virginia, Montana, South Dakota and Puerto Rico, and caucuses in Guam.

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1.8
{"commentId":1723814,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

So she's shrunk the lead by about 7 delegates. This means Obama is still ahead by somewhere around 100, all the while inching closer to the required 2025. I'm not sure how one could credibly argue this as a significant victory for Clinton. Every analyst I saw was certain she would win Pennsylvania, but winning wasn't enough here. She needed to win big, and she didn't. This has done nothing but make it even more important to win big in the next primary, and that stalling tactic can only go on so long.

{"commentId":1723814,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
  • 7 votes
Reply#1 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 7:51 AM EDT
{"commentId":1723832,"authorDomain":"paperdragon"}

The Obama campaign is stressing that point. Mathematically it's rather unimportant. He closed the gap, which is all he had to do. But the Clinton campaign is spinning the psychological factor... that she's tough, she doesn't give up, and now "the tide is turning."

{"commentId":1723832,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"paperdragon"}
  • 7 votes
#1.1 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 7:56 AM EDT
{"commentId":1724417,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

I'm fairly certain that President Obama could be in the middle of his inauguration ceremony and Hillary would interrupt insisting that she's gaining momentum.

{"commentId":1724417,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
  • 4 votes
#1.2 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 10:34 AM EDT
{"commentId":1724609,"authorDomain":"PamelaDrew"}
Clinton's win still leaves her the underdog

But the deep pockets and support of corporate media is doing its best to sell Clinton.

{"commentId":1724609,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"PamelaDrew"}
  • 2 votes
#1.3 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 11:13 AM EDT
{"commentId":1724632,"authorDomain":"nitewingsg1"}

Florida and Michigan,,....................................

I know we don't count, out of spite I'll for for McCain, even though he's a bigger looser then, Barack Obama

{"commentId":1724632,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"nitewingsg1"}
    #1.4 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 11:20 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1725056,"authorDomain":"paperdragon"}

    Barack Obama is tighter than McCain?

    {"commentId":1725056,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"paperdragon"}
    • 1 vote
    #1.5 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 12:52 PM EDT
    {"commentId":1725222,"authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    Barack Obama is tighter than McCain?

    I dunno homie, J-Mac is pretty tight, yo.

    {"commentId":1725222,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    • 2 votes
    #1.6 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 1:27 PM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":1723841,"authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}

    Indiana and North Carolina are now the deciding factors
    ... and Obama will win those two states, North Carolina with ease.

    Clinton only took 5-10 delegates and she's running her mouth like she just flipped the race, this woman is incredulous. Sure she could make the point that she's winning the Blue-Collar counties in the big states but Obama still is showing the winner by popular, primary, caucus and delegate tally. He's even making inroads into her working class and female voters. I was listening to the media networks make the point last night that his breaking *almost* even in PA with Clinton shows that he is gaining "white" American support as the state is predominantly made up of the "white working class". Also, it has been said that Republicans are switching to Democrat to vote for Hillary and spoil the election... But last night the numbers showed that they voted for Obama... What of that? North Carolina is the last big state to vote in the last 9 states and North Carolina loooves Obama. She should drop out nooow but she won't and lets see how she likes the Indiana results.

    And, if anyone bothered to watch the major media networks last night while the votes were coming in... Did you notice how they all projected a Hillary win with only 3% of precincts reporting? Anyone else find something wrong with that picture? haha

    {"commentId":1723841,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}
    • 4 votes
    Reply#2 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 7:59 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1723877,"authorDomain":"deatienza"}
    Did you notice how they all projected a Hillary win with only 3% of precincts reporting?

    They've been doing that for the entire primary season. The projection is based on exit polls, and they supplement that with real data once the precincts start to report.

    {"commentId":1723877,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"deatienza"}
    • 4 votes
    #2.1 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 8:15 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1723915,"authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}

    It's kind of silly to me, for first time viewers like my parents last night who called and were completely confused - it's pretty amusing.

    {"commentId":1723915,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}
    • 3 votes
    #2.2 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 8:28 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1723919,"authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}

    I also forgot to add some more thoughts I had...
    She's a seasoned politician thanks to her previous first lady status. So, even with all of the money Obama has spent on getting his name out - the Clinton name is by far the better-known name in this race. She's a heavy weight and Obama is going to have to completely knock her out in North Carolina and convince super delegates to flock to him or she'll take this race all the way to the convention.

    {"commentId":1723919,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}
    • 3 votes
    #2.3 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 8:29 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724026,"authorDomain":"deatienza"}

    Oh, it's incredibly silly. But with the 24-hour news cycle they have to report on something and neither of the candidates did anything newsworthy in the eyes of the networks (like bowling a 37 for instance).

    {"commentId":1724026,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"deatienza"}
    • 3 votes
    #2.4 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 9:09 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724043,"authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}

    haha, true.
    It was a bit annoying though to watch them go back and forth like school children before any reporting had gone through. When you'd think there are better things to be reporting than sitting around at a table and chit chatting.

    {"commentId":1724043,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"arcanebliss"}
    • 3 votes
    #2.5 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 9:13 AM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":1723926,"authorDomain":"Rixar13"}

    Hillary is tough and all the media attention certainly helps the Democrats in that a change is needed in our country.

    {"commentId":1723926,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"Rixar13"}
    • 1 vote
    Reply#3 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 8:31 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724077,"authorDomain":"Mars313"}

    I love how Hillary and Camp Clinton pretends that Obama won't have a chance at winning the states Hillary won in the primaries. Those who voted for Hillary are just as "Left" as those who voted for Obama (of course, with a small number of exceptions) and those people will not vote for the GOP just to show their anger from the Primary season. That's a load of crap.

    {"commentId":1724077,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    • 6 votes
    Reply#4 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 9:25 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724087,"authorDomain":"deatienza"}

    Seriously. Her campaign is making all these "why can't he win the big states?" points as if there's actually a chance that California and New York will go red in the fall.

    {"commentId":1724087,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"deatienza"}
    • 6 votes
    #4.1 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 9:28 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724172,"authorDomain":"Mars313"}

    Exactly! I doubt Californians and New Yorkers are going "It's Hillary or nobody!!!!"

    The ilk of people that support Hillary are not exactly the kamikaze types. I don't think they employ the same "Scorched Earth" tactics she does.

    {"commentId":1724172,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    • 5 votes
    #4.2 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 9:48 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724470,"authorDomain":"barrydbowen"}

    I am a Hillary supporter who will certainly vote Obama over McCain, but you a incorrect to suggest her base is generally as left as Obama's. Exit polling consistently indicates that is not the case. Gore and Kerry won CA and NY. Those states are not the issue. The issue is swing states. So far Obama has won one primary in a swing state -- Missouri. Winning solidly red states such as the Carolinas, means nothing for the general election because they are not voting Dem for president.

    The math says Obama wins the nomination. I will support him. But all the hope hype and the change mantra is a bit much.

    {"commentId":1724470,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"barrydbowen"}
    • 1 vote
    #4.3 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 10:43 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724502,"authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    The math says Obama wins the nomination. I will support him. But all the hope hype and the change mantra is a bit much.

    Agreed. But something has to be said for optimism in times like this, be it rhetorical or not. Out of the big 3 candidates he is the only one that even admits change is possible, which it is. The other 2 ridicule change, which is certainly not what we need.

    Hope is only "hype" in a hopeless nation, which America is not, and never has been. If you look negatively on hope and change, then you deserve whatever comes our way.

    {"commentId":1724502,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    • 6 votes
    #4.4 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 10:49 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1726776,"authorDomain":"barrydbowen"}

    Mars,

    A respectful exchange. Thanks. Not much of that going on between the two camps of supporters here, NYTimes, and the Post.

    The way the Obama campaign has used hope and change has taken on almost religious overtones. It is ephemeral rather than concrete policy. The CHANGE I want is a government that cares more for working-class families than billionaires and huge corporations with little social conscience. And I HOPE we get a President and a true working majority in Congress that will will fight for that.

    It is as if when Obama wins he will play nice and that will inspire a kinder, gentler, GOP and they will play nice too. That ain't gonna happen. Elections are about who sets policy, shapes the court, and leads the US back to a respectful position both to the world community and from the world. That is concrete, not ephemeral, IMHO.

    {"commentId":1726776,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"barrydbowen"}
    • 1 vote
    #4.5 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 7:36 PM EDT
    {"commentId":1727956,"authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    The way the Obama campaign has used hope and change has taken on almost religious overtones.

    And even if this is true, the difference between "hope rhetoric" and religious rhetoric (much employed by the GOP) is that at least hope exists factually. Who cares in what tone people have hope? If the public was utterly hopeless, the GOP would find a way to spin that too. When I pick sides, I'll pick the one with hope, not the side(s) that looks down on hope.

    It is ephemeral rather than concrete policy.

    I'd like to see where Obama once claimed hope as policy. The hope comes before, and leads to, the policy.

    The CHANGE I want is a government that cares more for working-class families than billionaires and huge corporations with little social conscience. And I HOPE we get a President and a true working majority in Congress that will will fight for that.

    That's the change we all want. And we all hope we get that, but nobody can honestly say before January who will deliver this. None of these candidates have ever done anything to say that they will surely deliver on anything, so to pretend otherwise is just more partisan rhetoric.

    {"commentId":1727956,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"Mars313"}
    • 2 votes
    #4.6 - Thu Apr 24, 2008 7:58 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1728026,"authorDomain":"bluejohnnyd"}

    Also, Obama actually does have generally very concrete (or at least as concrete as can be expected at this stage) policy proposals listed on the website. More of them and in greater detail than the ones at the Clinton site, last I checked.

    {"commentId":1728026,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"bluejohnnyd"}
    • 3 votes
    #4.7 - Thu Apr 24, 2008 8:23 AM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":1724312,"authorDomain":"comsen"}

    I thought I had read where Obama was gaining on Hillary in PA and it was going to be close. What happened?

    {"commentId":1724312,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"comsen"}
    • 1 vote
    Reply#5 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 10:13 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724339,"authorDomain":"paperdragon"}

    He cut her 25 point lead down to 10.

    {"commentId":1724339,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"paperdragon"}
    • 5 votes
    #5.1 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 10:19 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724365,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

    Indeed. I was in the gym watching CNN, and the first results to come back were something like 60/40, and within the hour I was there it shrunk to 58/42. Obviously the gap grew back a bit from that, but it definitely wasn't the huge win that the first numbers claimed.

    {"commentId":1724365,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
    • 3 votes
    #5.2 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 10:23 AM EDT
    {"commentId":1724622,"authorDomain":"PamelaDrew"}

    That's true and if the media weren't pulling for Clinton the headline would be more like, Obama makes stunning strides to close the gap, not Clinton still underdog but winning!

    {"commentId":1724622,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"PamelaDrew"}
    • 1 vote
    #5.3 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 11:17 AM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":1725363,"authorDomain":"preagan"}

    NOT a Double Digit WIN
    Clinton's was not a double digit win. The actual margin was 9.4%. The correct number was reported by Real Clear Politics - realclearpolitics.com - and others.

    {"commentId":1725363,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"preagan"}
      Reply#6 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 2:00 PM EDT
      {"commentId":1725467,"authorDomain":"mike-33"}

      I hope Obama focuses more on McCain and mostly the key issues for NC and IN over the next two weeks, and does not go negative. I know he has to defend himself, but it is important for him to not let Bill and Hillary drag him into the gutter. Know one can play gutter politics like the Clinton Machine. Best thing he can do is stay positive, focus on the issues, campaign like mad, and AVOID bill and Hillary

      {"commentId":1725467,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"mike-33"}
      • 1 vote
      Reply#7 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 2:23 PM EDT
      {"commentId":1726778,"authorDomain":"pw5599"}

      "After last night's decisive victory in Pennsylvania, more people have voted for Hillary than any other candidate, including Sen. Obama. Estimates vary slightly, but according to Real Clear Politics, Hillary has received 15,095,663 votes to Sen. Obama's 14,973,720, a margin of more than 120,000 votes.
      ABC News reported this morning that "Clinton has pulled ahead of Obama" in the popular vote. This count includes certified vote totals in Florida and Michigan."

      Read it and weep! And if you're going to write a lie, at least get half of the lie straight!

      {"commentId":1726778,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"pw5599"}
      • 2 votes
      Reply#8 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 7:37 PM EDT
      {"commentId":1727036,"authorDomain":"deatienza"}
      This count includes certified vote totals in Florida and Michigan."

      You're counting one state where Obama's name wasn't on the ballot and two in which he didn't campaign. The amount by which Clinton's margin shrank in PA since 4 weeks ago should make you reconsider these votes by itself.

      {"commentId":1727036,"threadId":"254336","contentId":"1447376","authorDomain":"deatienza"}
      • 3 votes
      #8.1 - Wed Apr 23, 2008 9:14 PM EDT
      Reply
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