Jobless claims post sharp decline

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WASHINGTON — The number of newly laid off workers seeking unemployment benefits dropped far more than expected last week.

The Labor Department reported Thursday that applications for unemployment benefits fell to 365,000, a decline of 18,000 from the previous week. Economists had been looking for a much smaller decrease of around 5,000.

Weekly jobless claims have been exceptionally volatile in recent weeks because of strike-related layoffs in the auto industry and an unusually early Easter, which played havoc with the government's seasonal adjustment measurements.

Many economists believe a prolonged housing slump and severe credit crisis have pushed the economy into a recession. For that reason, they think job layoffs will rise in coming months as the unemployment rate climbs higher.

Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, said that even with this week's improvement, claims are now at a level equal to where they were at the start of the last recession in March 2001. He predicted layoffs would increase further in coming months.

However, many economists believe job losses will be less severe than in previous recessions because they are expecting this downturn to be relatively mild and brief. The Bush administration is counting on 130 million economic stimulus payments to boost consumer spending and trigger a rebound in growth starting this summer.

The Labor Department reported last week that employers cut jobs for a fourth straight month, often a sign of a recession, but the job loss of 20,000 was much smaller than had been expected and was well below the 81,000 jobs lost in March.

Wall Street closed a quiet trading session with a moderate advance Thursday, pushing the Dow Jones industrial average up by 52.43 points to 12,866.78.

In other economic news, consumers gave retailers some relief in April after a long stretch of dismal sales. Early reports from the nation's big chain stores showed customers bought the basics at discounters and wholesale clubs, putting Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Costco Wholesale Corp. among the top performers last month.

Analysts predicted the flood of rebate checks will boost sales in coming months, helping to offset soaring gasoline prices and falling home values.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and other administration officials fanned out to government check printing centers around the country Thursday to highlight that stimulus checks were starting to be mailed out.

"By the end of May, we will have pumped almost $50 billion into the economy and another $50 billion will follow. By early July, about 130 million households will have almost $100 billion of payments in hand," Paulson said after visiting a check processing facility in Kansas City.

The report on jobless claims showed that the total number of laid off workers receiving benefits dipped slightly to 3.02 million for the week ending April 26 but remained above the 3 million-mark for the second straight week.

For the week ending April 26, 32 states and territories had a drop in initial claims while 21 had increases.

The biggest increase was in Massachusetts, a rise of 5,591 that was attributed to higher layoffs in transportation, services and public administration.

Other states with big increases were New York, up 4,648; Kentucky, up 3,776, and New Jersey, up 3,521.

The state with the biggest decline was Texas, where jobless claims fell by 3,373, reflecting fewer layoffs in trade, service and manufacturing industries. Other states with large declines were Rhode Island, down 1,835; California, down 1,689, and Pennsylvania, down 1,597.

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{"commentId":1759088,"authorDomain":"cncfnbamilwaukee"}

Most of the time, I do not consider the national data credible because it only considers those on-line that they count.

From where I sit, the unemployment is always much higher in People of Color and the Working Poor areas. It should be reported.

By reporting it, it puts these hard working and struggling folk at the table of recognition, hange and inclusiveness.

The stats do not have truth telling mechanism in place to do an assessment of People of Color and the Working Poor families. Therefore, they are dismissed into "aggregate facts".

Specially, the data collectors, use mechanism they have put in place that are not necessary a mainstay to People of Color and the Working Poor entrepreneurs. For the most part , because they are not connected and have not been informed.

City and state licensing sources are more or less just interested in collecting the "fee" they have assessed for a license or punishment fine (if it applies).

NAICS and SIC
The 1997 North American Industry Classification System of the OBM/Office of Management and Budget has created a replacement for SIC/Standard Industrial Classification. My research falls short of finding connectivity that allows for reporting data that is accurate and "inclusive".

An example, if you collect by land line and entrepreneurs operate primarily by cell phone (without a directory assistance directory OR compiled data base), how are those folk counted? They aren't.

I encourage more inclusive reporting. To do this, it will force the powers to be (elected officials and government monitors working with entrepreneurs) seek avenues that allow for data collection and more importantly, ways and means of correcting the abject poverty that is in America.

Not to mention a better economy for all.

The OBM needs to reach out and do more training and information sharing on the level of the small, neighborhood, and cultural competency businesses.

I am curious to your thoughts as well as, do you have a door we could knock on for sharing these thoughts?

Mary Glass - Milwaukeean

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    Reply#1 - Fri May 2, 2008 2:14 PM EDT
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