Oil prices spike as Hurricane Gustav nears Gulf

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Oil prices swung rapidly higher Tuesday as Hurricane Gustav threatened major oil operations in the Gulf of Mexico.

After falling close to $112 per barrel in overnight trading, light, sweet crude for October delivery spiked $2.33 to $117.44 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a $5 swing.

Already adding support to oil prices was Russia's recognition of independence for two breakaway provinces in Georgia, which is likely to enflame tensions with the west.

In London, October Brent crude rose 1 cent to $114.51 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

Oil prices switched directions several times during Tuesday's session, with the dollar swings seen as mostly responsible for the fluctuations.

"The Dollar Index ... has shown that it can at time override the oil fundamentals ... and will probably dominate until Gustav defines a more definitive path," said Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix in Switzerland.

Oil prices typically rise when the dollar falls, as investors buy commodities as a hedge against inflation and weakness in the U.S. currency.

Although the dollar was still stronger Tuesday than Monday, by the afternoon in Europe it gave back some of its gains from earlier in the session against the euro. The euro had fallen below $1.46, a six-month low, but later climbed back to $1.4635.

At the same time, the dollar also lost some ground within the session against the Japanese yen, to 109.55 yen compared with 109.78 earlier, but still up from 109.35 on Monday.

Tropical storm Gustav became a hurricane Tuesday as it approached Haiti's southern coast, and is also on track to hit Cuba.

Forecasters said the hurricane's maximum sustained winds were near 90 mph Tuesday morning, with higher gusts. They said it could become a Category 2 hurricane with winds of 96 mph or higher before hitting Haiti.

"It's hard to predict where Gustav will strike," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "But the market is reacting to it and edging up."

Haitians were told to prepare for evacuations as the storm formed Monday in the Caribbean. Haiti upgraded storm warnings to hurricane warnings along much of its coast as Gustav closed in from the south.

Forecasters said storm preparations in Haiti should be rushed to completion and that floods and landslides were possible across its southern peninsula. The forecasts suggested Gustav's eye could pass near the capital of Port-au-Prince, home to nearly 3 million people.

Traders worried that the hurricane could head into the Gulf, where there are many oil drilling platforms. The storm was centered about 130 miles south-southeast of Port-au-Prince and was moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 kph).

Analysts and traders also feared that mounting tensions with the West over the breakaway Georgian territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia may increase the risk of an interruption of oil and natural gas flows to Europe, greatly dependent on Russian energy supplies.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 3.8 cents to $3.1894 a gallon, while gasoline prices gained 3.86 cents to $2.9209 a gallon. Natural gas futures increased 39.2 cents to $8.217 per 1,000 cubic feet.

___

Associated Press writers Alex Kennedy in Singapore and Matt Moore in Frankfurt contributed to this report.

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{"commentId":2510834,"authorDomain":"Antbattinelli"}

Can someone seriously explain to me in real detailed theory why when the price of a barrel of oil goes up our gas prices go up respectively, But that it is not the same when the price of a barrel goes down? When gas was $114 a barrel previously our gas prices were not still hanging around $4 a gallon. If someone could give me a real explanation of this with maybe some links or other media i could read myself, that would help me a great deal. Thank you

{"commentId":2510834,"threadId":"335294","contentId":"1762507","authorDomain":"Antbattinelli"}
    Reply#1 - Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:34 PM EDT
    {"commentId":2584719,"authorDomain":"gregorynfp"}

    Dumb story. Oil rises because of a tropical storm. Silly!

    {"commentId":2584719,"threadId":"335294","contentId":"1762507","authorDomain":"gregorynfp"}
      Reply#2 - Mon Aug 25, 2008 10:13 PM EDT
      {"commentId":2672627,"authorDomain":"howard521"}

      Pelosi and Reid, who are against oil drilling, wanted to use our strategic oil reserves, as a way of pandering to the public for democratic votes. Now, we have Hurricane Gustov, which is going to put a strain on our oil supply. Our strategic oil supply is supposed to be used for emergencies like this hurricane, or for oil disruption due to terrorism. This just reminds us of how irresponsible politicians like Pelosi and Reid really are!!!

      {"commentId":2672627,"threadId":"335294","contentId":"1762507","authorDomain":"howard521"}
        Reply#3 - Sun Aug 31, 2008 6:30 PM EDT
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