Fed officials weigh in on economy's weakness

advertisement

The U.S. economy's weakness will stretch well into next year, a Federal Reserve official warned Friday.

"We likely are in for a protracted period of poor economic performance," said Charles Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

The economy lurched into reverse in the summer as worried consumers slashed spending. Many analysts believe the economy will continue to shrink through the rest of this year and into the next, more than meeting a classic definition of recession.

"The U.S. economy is now clearly in the midst of a substantial downturn," Evans said in a speech to economists in Indiana. "Given the magnitude of the problems that we face, we could see activity remaining quite sluggish through much of 2009."

A recovery is expected to take hold "more firmly" in 2010 and 2011, but "at this time, it is very difficult to judge how long the downturn might last and how deep it ultimately will be," he said.

Jeffrey Lacker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, in separate remarks, sounded a bit more optimistic about the timing of a recovery.

"Looking ahead, many analysts expect the U.S. economy to regain positive momentum sometime in 2009," Lacker said in a speech in Maryland. "That strikes me as a reasonable expectation."

The Fed officials' remarks come just days after the Federal Reserve sharply downgraded projections for economic activity this year and next, which will drive unemployment higher. The nation's unemployment rate zoomed in October to 6.5 percent, a 14-year high.

A trio of crises — housing, credit and financial — have badly damaged the economy.

To ease some of the pain, the Federal Reserve on Oct. 29 slashed its key interest rate to 1 percent, a level seen only once before in the last half-century. Many economists predict the Fed will lower rates again at its last meeting of the year on Dec. 15-16.

Besides cutting rates, the Fed has taken a flurry of unprecedented actions to ease the financial crisis and break through a credit clog so that banks will lend money more freely. The government also is rolling out a $700 billion financial bailout package and taking other steps to restore financial stability.

  • 7 Votes
  • Enjoy this article? Help vote it up the 'Vine.

Back To Top

Published to:

What's this?
Who's leading the conversation?
This visualization below allows you to see the impact that each user has on the current conversation. The top row contains the group of users who have had the most impact, the 2nd row the group of users who have had the 2nd most impact (et cetera). Users with similar impact are grouped together, and the average score of the group is shown to the left of the group. The author of the article is also shown on the left, in their corresponding group. Each user's score is based on the number of comments the user has made plus the number of votes their comments have received. The scores are calculated relative one another, so while their absolute value is not particularly important, their relative difference does indicate a larger difference in impact on the conversation.
8.0
1.7
{"commentId":4126874,"authorDomain":"eric-albert"}

Supply side economics, trickle down class economic, is Reaganism, Clintonism, where monetary policies are used to stimulate the demand side.   However, once the consumer and middle class mechanism, the demand side is broken, squeezed, murdered, into a collapsing goose that lays the golden eggs, the only way to revive this social balance is to put all the fiinancial crooks in jail, seize their illegal assets, and feed the goose back inito a mechanism, that once again can live.

MORAL OF THE STORY....KEYNSIAN, MARXIST, SOCIAL THEORIES ARE NOW PARAMOUNT, EVEN TO SAVE CAPITALISM.   However, unlike FDR, I would revive the social principle of wealth to create socialism, not corporate fascism

{"commentId":4126874,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"eric-albert"}
  • 3 votes
Reply#1 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 2:24 PM EST
{"commentId":4127425,"authorDomain":"jpfoxy"}

Applying labels to potential,solutions doesn't instill confidence and it doesn't inspire people. It serves only to alienate. Let's just do what is right and what makes sense. The problem is what to do. The Fed and the Treasury are apparently not equpped to rescuing the economy. Suffice to say that without a captain at the wheel, the economic ship has run aground. Now, Paulsen and others are trying to pry the ship loose.

{"commentId":4127425,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"jpfoxy"}
    #1.1 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 2:55 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128526,"authorDomain":"eric-albert"}

    JOE:  I didn't invent these labels or ideology.  Typical of midddle classes, too lazy to think, they first deny terminology, ideology, then they pollute the social movements and social ideology with deformations that do not belong to the original version, and when all that no longer works, they run away from their own terminology, ideology, and class outcome is theirs which they created.

    {"commentId":4128526,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"eric-albert"}
    • 2 votes
    #1.2 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:03 PM EST
    Reply
    {"commentId":4127405,"authorDomain":"jkintu2006"}

    What rate cut? We are already at 1%, may be a rate cut to -2% which means i will get paid to BORROW money from a bank.

    {"commentId":4127405,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"jkintu2006"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#2 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 2:54 PM EST
    {"commentId":4127628,"authorDomain":"jtruckley"}

    I like that deal.

    {"commentId":4127628,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"jtruckley"}
    • 1 vote
    #2.1 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:09 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128251,"authorDomain":"minan59"}

    Maybe the banks that we bailed out should pay us to borrow our money from them.

    {"commentId":4128251,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"minan59"}
    • 1 vote
    #2.2 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:46 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128291,"authorDomain":"sneila"}

    I took a lot of mine out and put it in my fire-proof/water-proof safe. I sleep better at night now.

    {"commentId":4128291,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"sneila"}
    • 1 vote
    #2.3 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:48 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128593,"authorDomain":"JoulesBeef"}

    japan did that a coupel years ago.
    and they have had 0% for about a decade
    and yes that means you get interest for borrowing
    but with their rate of inflation it wasnt exactly free money..
    the deal made it so that japanese banks had to pay other bansk when they held heir money cause none of the banks could trust each others solvency.. er sorta like here.

    But really our true interest rate has been negative.. you take the nomial and subtract out inflation.

    pretty sure this month it is back above zero do to recent price drops

    but it isnt unlikely we will do the same thing and have a negative nominal.

    {"commentId":4128593,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"JoulesBeef"}
    • 1 vote
    #2.4 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:08 PM EST
    {"commentId":4129483,"authorDomain":"eric-albert"}

    In a similar seed by Miller, on the evils of Socialism, I pointed out how clueless we are when it comes to terminology, and the history of ideologies:

    "I have always said that Americans, especially its middle classes, have a long history of ignoring terminology, ideology, history, and therefore always deform social movements, social ideologies.   We saw just how stupid the McCain-Palin reactionaries were when they tried to pin both the label, Marxism and Muslim on Obama, the same way the fascists in Nazi Germany tried to label Jews as both Capitalist Bankers and Marxist.

    Middle class deformation of ideology is so pervasive, in America, labels and ideology are both ignored, yet thrown around like the Fascists of Corporate Americans themselves.  Using your logic the Military is socialist, the Public Police and Firemen are socialist when in fact they are social institutions in the service of class power and class regimes.

    I WOULD HARDLY CALL THE PENTAGON, "SOCIALIST", "MARXIST" but socialism for the rich or corporate socialism is in fact Hitlers corporate fascism.   The PENTAGON can be described as corporate fascists, but definitely not socialist."

    {"commentId":4129483,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"eric-albert"}
    • 2 votes
    #2.5 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 5:07 PM EST
    Reply
    {"commentId":4127513,"authorDomain":"rider-83"}

    The federal reserve is a private group and NOT part of the government!  They should be disbanded and all their exec arrested for bleeding America dry!!!  They just keep the middle class and poor in poverty!  The government could have given all the money to the middle class but instead gave it to the rich financers because the lenders did not want to lose all the interest they could collect from us!! They are just rich robber barons who should be shot for almost destroying America!!!  Why does our government borrow money from the federal reserve when they can print all the money they want without interest??? Check out who created the federal reserve in the first place you might be surprised!!!

    {"commentId":4127513,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"rider-83"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#3 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:01 PM EST
    {"commentId":4127732,"authorDomain":"mhelwig"}

    rider-your 100% correct! The Federal Reserve is owned by Private Banks, mostly foreign. Most Americans don't have a clue!

    {"commentId":4127732,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"mhelwig"}
    • 2 votes
    #3.1 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:16 PM EST
    {"commentId":4127772,"authorDomain":"ghetto-otaku"}

    Your kidding me.....

    your saying, that the FED is not a "american(USA)" based reserve?

    where do I find infomation on this?

    {"commentId":4127772,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"ghetto-otaku"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.2 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:19 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128006,"authorDomain":"sneila"}

    Yes independent voter-512572 is correct.

    Watch the film/documentary called 'From Freedom to Facism" it is a real eye opener.

    {"commentId":4128006,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"sneila"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.3 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:31 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128050,"authorDomain":"mhelwig"}

    AfricanMadman-go to http://www.save-a-patriot.org/files/view/whofed.html. I advise you and everyone else to read G. E. Griffin's book entitled The Creature from Jekyll Island, and watch Aaron Russo's documentary Freedom to Fascism.

    The fact that our government pays $500 Billion in interest yearly due to the money it borrows from the Fed is sickening! It kills the middle class with inflation. Congress has the authority to create and control our monetary policy and not pay interest to a private entity, but it chooses not too! That is why this is not a partison issue....both parties are to blame for allowing this fleecing to continue! And yet our leaders continue to throw more funny money at the problem.

    {"commentId":4128050,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"mhelwig"}
    • 2 votes
    #3.4 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:34 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128137,"authorDomain":"sneila"}

    I gave the DVD 'From Freedom to Facism" as holiday gifts last year and plan to do the same this year. Every person commented back to me about the documentary and most wondered why they had not heard these things before. One of the recipients is a highly educated engineer who also has a background in municipal budgeting and he now recommends the film to other's.

    {"commentId":4128137,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"sneila"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.5 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:39 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128172,"authorDomain":"mhelwig"}

    Not a bad idea! The only way to change anything in this country is to educate as many people as possible!

    {"commentId":4128172,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"mhelwig"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.6 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:41 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128208,"authorDomain":"sneila"}

    Exactly right. Because we won't hear these things from the dinosaur media.

    {"commentId":4128208,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"sneila"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.7 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:43 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128318,"authorDomain":"mhelwig"}

    I'm participating in the End the Fed Rally in DC on November 22. There will be rallies going on simultaneously in 38 major cities throughout the country! Check it out!

    {"commentId":4128318,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"mhelwig"}
    • 2 votes
    #3.8 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:50 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128350,"authorDomain":"sneila"}

    Sounds Good..I will.

    {"commentId":4128350,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"sneila"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.9 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:52 PM EST
    {"commentId":4128658,"authorDomain":"JoulesBeef"}

    well sorta.. it is private but more like a GSE as we do appoint the chairman.. you know like berneke. but otherwise we are mostly hands off as to what they do.. they can print money all they want.

    {"commentId":4128658,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"JoulesBeef"}
      #3.10 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:12 PM EST
      {"commentId":4136634,"authorDomain":"mhelwig"}

      JoulesBeef-your correct that the President appoints the chairman. But......the President can only choose someone from a list that the banks provide for him!! The banks have the ultimate say! It is not like a GSE!

      {"commentId":4136634,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"mhelwig"}
        #3.11 - Thu Nov 20, 2008 8:20 AM EST
        Reply
        {"commentId":4127589,"authorDomain":"ghetto-otaku"}

        We need answers people.... After watching the bumbling auto-makers testify today, we are in trouble......

        {"commentId":4127589,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"ghetto-otaku"}
        • 3 votes
        Reply#4 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:07 PM EST
        {"commentId":4128034,"authorDomain":"sneila"}

        I agree! Especially after watching the bumbling/pompous members of congress ask their off -the- wall 'insightfully void' questions.

        {"commentId":4128034,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"sneila"}
        • 1 vote
        #4.1 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:33 PM EST
        {"commentId":4128668,"authorDomain":"JoulesBeef"}

        what question are that?

        {"commentId":4128668,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"JoulesBeef"}
          #4.2 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:12 PM EST
          Reply
          {"commentId":4127801,"authorDomain":"scanmenow"}

          Give the MONEY to the taxpayers.  After all it is OUR money!!  Problem Solved!

          {"commentId":4127801,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"scanmenow"}
          • 1 vote
          Reply#5 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:20 PM EST
          {"commentId":4127915,"authorDomain":"ghetto-otaku"}

          RIGHT!

          Give it to the poeple who DO give back to the jobs and the poeple.....

          {"commentId":4127915,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"ghetto-otaku"}
          • 1 vote
          #5.1 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 3:26 PM EST
          Reply
          {"commentId":4129316,"authorDomain":"gold-fanatic"}

          This passage below is an excellent realistic interpretation of the what the Feds actually think about the economy and how to deal with it:

          We can’t figure out what caused the serious structural cracks to develop so fast in that huge wall over there so let’s throw as much sh_t against it as we can and hope some of it sticks and stops the wall from falling. Then let’s analyze the components of the sh_t that stuck and see if we have enough of that kind of sh_t left to fill the rest of the cracks and make the wall stable again. Only by determining the kind of sh_t we need by trial and error will we ever figure out why the wall cracked in the first place!” I can then see Paulson, having figured out that brilliant strategy, organizing his band of Merry Men to throw sh_t at the wall as fast as possible. While they are doing that I can see Paulson pacing behind his men like a Napoleon on his horse at the Battle of Waterloo – finally clasping his hand against his head and gasping: “My God, what if we run out of sh_t?

          Check out the whole article: Stock Research Portal Blog

          Check out the parent site as well, it has some neat research tools: Stock Research Portal

          {"commentId":4129316,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"gold-fanatic"}
            Reply#6 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:55 PM EST
            {"commentId":4130544,"authorDomain":"ruffwesley"}

            Lowering the rate will not do any good.

            The FED is such a scam and unnecessary in the land of the "free."

            {"commentId":4130544,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"ruffwesley"}
              Reply#7 - Wed Nov 19, 2008 6:30 PM EST
              {"commentId":4159960,"authorDomain":"oscarxyz"}

              As a point of reference, read about what caused the "Great Depression."  It wasn't just a run on banks. The cause was much greater, then look at the situation today.  It's all about greed, and average Joe American is caught in the middle.  America was a "manufacturing giant" until free trade was signed into office by President Clinton and continued with President Bush who turned a blind eye on this policy.  Now many of our companies have gone through the door of free trade, and on to the greener pastures of cheap foreign labor countries. Remember "We Want Cheap Products. Everyone wants lower prices, and we just can't get enough of cheap 3rd world crap.  What else can middle class Americans afford-inflation and debt goes up, and our wages are where?   Pretty soon this retail dependent, driven country who many has never seen hard times are going to find out what the "New Depression" is all about. 

              I'd advise everyone to look at your own personal finances, cut up those credit cards, get out of debt, and quit crying for the government to bail you out.  It's not going to happen.  Learn to depend on yourself.

              Oh, and don't forget--support Wally World, and big business who buy cheap foreign crap to make a profit or employee foreign workers "because they just can't find qualified American workers."  Wake Up America!

              {"commentId":4159960,"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814","authorDomain":"oscarxyz"}
              • 1 vote
              Reply#8 - Fri Nov 21, 2008 5:40 PM EST
              {"canLink":false,"threadId":"423397","isPrivate":false}
              Leave a Comment:
              You're in Easy Mode. If you prefer, you can use XHTML Mode instead.
              As a new user, you may notice a few temporary content restrictions. Click here for more info.
              {"threadId":"423397","contentId":"2128814"}
              Start TrackingStart Tracking
              Stop TrackingStop Tracking