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Housing, auto fallout lifts metro jobless rates

Tue Jun 30, 2009 10:25 AM EDT
business, politics, us, unemployment, metro, metro-unemployment
Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer

FILE - In this June 19, 2009 file photo, Roger Knecht, left, looks for a job at the One Stop Center in Garden Grove, Calif. The Labor Department said Tuesday, June 30, 2009, jobless rates in May rose from a year earlier in all 372 metropolitan area it tracks. (AP Photo/Nick Ut, File)

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WASHINGTON — Layoffs tied to the troubled housing and autos industries clobbered the West and Midwest in May and helped raise unemployment rates in all the largest metropolitan areas for the fifth straight month.

All 372 metro areas saw joblessness rise in May from a year earlier, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. The highest rates — of at least 15 percent — were concentrated in metro areas in California, Michigan and Indiana.

Companies likely will remain reluctant to hire back workers even if the recession ends later this year as many expect. That means the unemployment rates in most metro areas probably will rise in the months ahead — a potential obstacle to a hoped-for recovery.

"The themes that are dominating this worsening labor market are problems in housing and autos, which have forced companies to cut jobs," said economist Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics. "Unfortunately, there are still more layoffs to come."

Employment at factories, construction companies, retailers and financial services has been especially hard hit by the recession, which started in December 2007 and is the longest since World War II.

Kokomo, Ind., a manufacturing hub, suffered the biggest gain in unemployment in May. Its rate zoomed to 18.8 percent, up 11.7 percentage points from a year ago. Much of the loss came from furloughs at four Chrysler plants that had been shut down as part of the auto company's bankruptcy proceedings. Local government leaders want to diversify the area's economy and attract other industries to employ out-of-work engineers, technicians and others.

The second-largest increase occurred in Indiana's Elkhart-Goshen, where the rate rose to 17.5 percent. That's up 11.4 percentage points from a year earlier. Layoffs at RV makers Monaco Coach Corp., Keystone RV Co. and Pilgrim International have taken a big bite out of area employment.

Bend, Ore., saw its jobless rate rise to 15.2 percent, an increase of 8.8 percentage points, the third-largest in the country. It's been the center of the central Oregon real estate and construction boom, powered by retirees from California. But the credit crisis and falling home prices made it harder for them to cash out of their existing homes and move. The area also has suffered from job losses in construction, retail and in the services sectors.

And North Carolina's Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton saw its unemployment rate rise to 15.4 percent, a gain of 8.5 percentage points. About one-third of all jobs in Hickory are at manufacturing plans. Furniture makers and textile producers for years have been shifting work to low-cost overseas producers, and the region has struggled to find other employers to help broaden its economic base.

Jobs at financial companies also have been hard hit by the housing, credit and financial debacles. And the global recession has cut into demand from customers both at home and abroad for a wide range of goods.

"Shipments to Asian and other countries are down. Exports have slowed. There is less demand," said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist for the Economic Outlook Group.

El Centro, Calif., again posted the highest unemployment rate in the country — 26.8 percent. Unemployment there is notoriously high because of many seasonal farm workers without jobs. Following behind were Yuma, Ariz., with a jobless rate of 23.3 percent, and Kokomo at 18.8 percent.

The U.S. unemployment rate climbed to a quarter-century high of 9.4 percent in May. Many economists predict it will rise to 9.6 percent in June. If they're right, it would mark the highest jobless rate since 10.1 percent in June 1983, when the country was trying to recover from a severe recession. The government will release the new national employment report on Thursday.

The U.S. unemployment rate could rise as high as 11 percent by next summer before it starts to decline. The highest rate since World War II was 10.8 percent at the end of 1982.

The changes in metro unemployment from April to May were almost as bleak as the year-over-year figures. The month-to-month figures aren't seasonally adjusted, so comparisons tend to be volatile.

The unemployment rates rose in 46 of the largest 49 metro areas. Two of the rates showed no change — in Denver and Minneapolis. But only one — in Buffalo-Niagara Falls — showed a decline, dipping to 8.3 percent from 8.5 percent. Some economists said they thought seasonal hiring linked to Niagara Falls tourism factored into the dip.

Among the other bright spots was Bismarck, N.D., which registered May's lowest jobless rate of 3.5 percent. North Dakota has been helped by the oil business. Bismarck was followed by Iowa City, Iowa, home of the University of Iowa, with an unemployment rate of 3.7 percent, and Ames, Iowa, at 3.8 percent.

© 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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  • Public Discussion (4)
reggie92

Wasn't Obama in Elkhart just a couple months ago? Telling us and them all that needed to be done was to pass his stimulus package and new jobs would be "saved or created." "Shovel ready" my ass! Summertime is always full of "shovel ready jobs" that have been in the works for years. Some how this president has been able to fool many Americans into thinking that by giving some speeches and promising everybody everything they want means it is actually going to happen. Just what the hell did these liberals get us into?

    Reply#1 - Tue Jun 30, 2009 11:04 AM EDT
    commoner

    Reggie, if you are out of a job, I am sorry, but if you will remember, Pres Obama told everyone throughout his campaign that we did not get in this economic mess overnight, and it was going to take time to get out of it. I believe that there were stipulations that went with funds that went to the different states, so if they don't implement their plans for the money, then it is your state's legislatures that need to get things moving--email or call them. I was guess also that there are people with money to invest in new businesses, but they are looking around to figure out where they want to invest. (I read somewhere that there is about 3 trillion dollars that investors in this country are sitting on right now.--Pres Obama has no control over these investors, it looks to me like he has pointed us to a multi-faceted industry that could lead the world----I have yet to hear of a better all around plan, have you?) Americans really have a profound opportunity to re-design our country and make it into something maybe entirely different--doesn't that sound exciting and challenging? People are beginning to come out of shock slowly, so keep your eyes open, do what you can do and be a part of the solution. America is going to be better than it ever dreamed of---have a little faith in yourself and your country!!!!

    • 1 vote
    #1.1 - Tue Jun 30, 2009 12:45 PM EDT
    Reply
    april-1023405

    They got us, our children and our grandchildren into debt with nothing to show - they got us into a position so that they can feed , care and house the world without borders - yet Americans can't even take care of our own families - they have us in a position now so that no matter how your credit looks Americans as a whole can't apply and recieve a housing loan.....yet if we were refugee etc., we would be able to not just get a government backed loan but if the dwelling needed repairs they would be paid for. It is incredibly aggravating.

      Reply#2 - Tue Jun 30, 2009 11:59 AM EDT
      commoner

      My suggestion is: forget the refugee issue. Stay focused on supporting positive changes. There are just too many things that no longer are working for us, but if we make good decisions about how to make the future better, we can "erase" some of the things that don't work or are unfair, as we go along. One thing that refugees should have taught us, is that they succeed because they work in families, extended families and with friends. "Pull yourself up by your bootstraps," was always a bunch of crap and too often makes people arrogant and merciless. Learning to work with others and looking out for the other guy, is a mark of a healthy civilization and a health individual. We need every "man" on deck" to change this society out of the dark ages and into a great and exciting future. Yes We Can!

      • 1 vote
      #2.1 - Tue Jun 30, 2009 1:21 PM EDT
      Reply
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