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World stocks up as China bounces back

Thu Aug 13, 2009 10:35 AM EDT
world-news, business, world, wall-street, markets, world-markets, most-asian
Pan Pylas, AP Business Writer
< PreviousNext >
showing 1 of 9 photos
<p>A man talks on his cell phone past the electronic stock board of a securities firm in Tokyo, Japan, Friday, Aug. 14, 2009. Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average rose 80.14 points, or 0.8 percent, at 10,597.33, the highest close since Oct. 3. (AP Photo/Itsuo Inouye)</p>

A man talks on his cell phone past the electronic stock board of a securities firm in Tokyo, Japan, Friday, Aug. 14, 2009. Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average rose 80.14 points, or 0.8 percent, at 10,597.33, the highest close since Oct. 3. (AP Photo/Itsuo Inouye)

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LONDON — World stock markets rose Thursday after Chinese shares bounced back with their biggest rally since March, a day after slumping nearly 5 percent.

The gains in Europe and Wall Street were reined in somewhat by the news that U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week to 576,000 from a revised 561,000 the previous week. Economists were expecting a fall to around 550,000.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 54.17 points, or 1.2 percent, at 4,743.84 while Germany's DAX rose 69.49 points, or 1.3 percent, to 5,301.47. The CAC-40 in France was 35.02 points, or 1 percent, higher at 3,485.36.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 32.80 points, or 0.4 percent, at 9,311.96 soon after the open while the broader Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 4.39 points, or 0.4 percent, at 1,000.85.

The gains in Europe and the U.S. came after Shanghai's main index surged 126 points, or 4.5 percent, to 2,911.58, while Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average advanced 179.41 points, or 1.8 percent, to 10,383.41. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 374.63, or 2 percent, to 20,336.36.

On Thursday, Shanghai's big fall triggered a pullback around the world before Wall Street rebounded amid higher oil prices after an unexpected fall in U.S. crude inventories suggested rising demand.

"Tread carefully — market sentiment is incredibly short-term at the moment and what happens in the market yesterday can very easily be reversed today," said Neil Mackinnon, chief economist at ECU Group.

"It's a very fickle market," he added.

As is often the case, much may depend on what happens on Wall Street when trading traditionally picks up after the Labor Day holiday in early September.

Volumes were extremely light in holiday-trimmed trading so investors remained wary of making too many predictions about whether the big rally seen in stocks since March — with a few downtrends since — will continue through to the end of the year.

One effect of low volumes is that volatility tends to be higher.

On Wednesday, stocks around the world oscillated wildly, with a turnaround in the U.S. helping European stocks to close little changed on the day despite sinking around 1 percent earlier in the session.

"The intra-day swings in stocks and risk appetite highlight a lack of direction at present and suggests an absence of long term players in the market as summer holidays continue to take their toll on trading activity," said Mitul Kotecha, analyst at Calyon Credit Agricole.

Leaving intraday volatility aside, Kotecha said the overall trend continues to be one of improving risk appetite and firming equities — the S&P 500 index for example is up around 47 percent from its March lows.

One worry in the markets is that Chinese shares have begun to look a bit frothy. Many analysts consider the Chinese market a lead indicator for worldwide stocks — over the last couple of years, Chinese stocks have led where others have followed. Sharp falls in the summer of 2007 proved to be a precursor to the start of the seizing up in credit markets, the prime cause of the global recession.

Before Thursday's advance, the Shanghai index was down more than 20 percent from its early August peak, officially putting it into bear market territory, having rallied 60 percent since the start of the year.

"The contagion effect of any fallout in China's equity markets should still not be ignored," said Kotecha.

Meanwhile, oil prices held steady above $72 a barrel after Wednesday's big rally in the wake of figures showing that U.S. crude in storage fell by 8.4 million barrels last week. That suggested an uptick in demand.

Benchmark crude for September delivery was down 2 cents at $72.40 after jumping $3.23 Wednesday.

The dollar rose 0.1 percent to 94.13 yen while the euro fell 0.1 percent to $1.4216.

____

AP Business Writer Stephen Wright in Bangkok contributed to this report.

© 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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