Fed officials warn weak recovery won't spur jobs

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WASHINGTON — Unemployment likely will remain high for the next several years because the economic recovery won't be strong enough to spur robust hiring, Federal Reserve officials warned Tuesday.

The cautionary note struck by the presidents of regional Fed banks were the first public remarks by Fed officials since the government reported last week that the nation's jobless rate bolted to 10.2 percent in October. It marked only the second time in the post-World War II period that the rate surpassed 10 percent.

In separate speeches, Janet Yellen, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and Dennis Lockhart, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, warned that rising unemployment could crimp consumers, restraining the recovery. Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of economic activity.

"With such a slow rebound, unemployment could well stay high for several years to come," Yellen said. "In other words, our recovery is likely to feel like something well short of good times."

Yellen envisions the shape of the recovery kind of like an "L" with a gradual upward tilt of the base.

Lockhart said "very slow net job gains" may occur "sometime next year."

Troubles in the commercial real estate market and the plight of small businesses also will weigh on the recovery, they said.

Small businesses — which held up reasonably well in the 2001 recession — have been clobbered by the downturn, accounting for about 45 percent of net job losses through the end of 2008, Lockhart said. During the last two economic recoveries, small businesses contributed about one-third of net job growth. Lockhart said he doubted that would be the case this time.

That's because many small businesses rely on smaller banks for credit. But troubled commercial real estate loans are concentrated at those banks, hobbling the flow of credit. Lockhart said he is "particularly concerned" about that linkage.

Meanwhile, Eric Rosengren, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, weighed in on a different hot-button issue for Congress: how best to handle huge financial companies whose failure could endanger the economy.

Rosengren endorsed "living wills" that outline wind-down arrangements in the event of failure, rather than having the government restrict the size or activities of financial firms. "I am skeptical such dramatic action would significantly limit systemic risk," he said in a speech in London.

The Obama administration has called on Congress to set up a mechanism to safely dismantle failed financial companies — along the lines of what the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. does for collapsed banks. Although key legislative proposals revamping the nation's financial rules contain such a provision, some lawmakers and others have expressed interest in limiting the size of colossal firms or breaking them up if they get too big.

Richard Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, told an Austin audience Tuesday evening that consumer spending is growing, but that he doubts it will recover its pre-recession vigor "for some time to come." He also said there is no imminent willingness by businesses to rehire or expand capital expenditures during the recovery.

"It may be some time before significant job growth occurs and it'll be even longer before a meaningful decline in unemployment takes place," Fisher said.

"It will take some time, in my opinion, to get back on a steady pathway to a pace of growth that will result in significant job creation for Americans. We are in for a very slow slog and a long slog," he said. "We have too much of everything in America, and we over-consumed," he added, saying it's not surprising there has been a contraction.

Fisher added that he believes inflation is likely to remain subdued and that the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy is appropriate.

___

Associated Press Writer Kelley Shannon in Austin, Texas contributed to this story.

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47
6.4

{"commentId":10593069,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

Bye, bye, Barack.

{"commentId":10593069,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
  • 9 votes
Reply#1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 10:28 AM EST
{"commentId":10595438,"authorDomain":"eric-albert"}

Bye Bye corporate, class politicians, corporate despotism, corporate capitlalism.....Barack take all the tea baggers with you.....you served them well....you appeased Wall Street and Empire.....and republican class thugs.

{"commentId":10595438,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"eric-albert"}
  • 5 votes
#1.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:13 PM EST
{"commentId":10595687,"authorDomain":"s-heraclituss"}

Thank You elitist crooks (R and D) for your wonderful service to the American People. We relish the day when we will have no Jobs at all and we will no longer have to fund your existence.

{"commentId":10595687,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"s-heraclituss"}
  • 2 votes
#1.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:24 PM EST
{"commentId":10596549,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

No, they just want to fool us into giving money to the smaller banks now. If anything fails, it will be TARP, which was started by the Republicans and continued by Obama. It would be a bipartisan failure. We injected 700B into the system. If the result is a soaring Dow, huge bonuses to Wall Street and no jobs, then that's just the way it's gonna be...not a single @!$%#ing dime more to these @!$%#es. The money is there- LEND IT! I've read this article before...

{"commentId":10596549,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
  • 2 votes
#1.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:58 PM EST
{"commentId":10601285,"authorDomain":"jdsteve"}

Obviously the Fed has not heard of all the jobs that are being created by the stimulus as it is being spent, that is supposed to keep unemployment down, not going up. I do not see continued high unemployment as particularly boding well for either political party, or at least not for anyone running for re-election in 2010. I know that I blame much of the problems on government policies and spending but also on people living beyond their means and taking advantage of these policies. Hopefully, when our new Congress, full of new faces, reconvenes after the elections they will get to work on legislation and tax incentives to create and encourage the creation of real, sustainable private sector jobs and they will start to reel in the spending on the federal side.

{"commentId":10601285,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"jdsteve"}
  • 1 vote
#1.4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 3:57 PM EST
Reply
{"commentId":10593173,"authorDomain":"ispeedtoo"}

The Fed has screwed every living and future American and this Bank controlled entity is EVIL and needs to be stopped.

What are you going to do about it!

{"commentId":10593173,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"ispeedtoo"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 10:33 AM EST
{"commentId":10594623,"authorDomain":"Jivatmanx"}
What are you going to do about it?

An Article from the Huffpo, 11/5/09

In the Obama proposal, which was released in the House last week in the form of a draft bill, the Federal Reserve would have the authority to ignore the recommendations by a firm's primary regulator (be it a bank or securities regulator) and simply impose its own standards on the firm. The Fed would also have the power to examine the firm, and force the firm to comply with those standards if necessary.

In essence, if the other regulators didn't play ball the Fed's way, the Fed could shove them aside.

Thank you Mr. Obama. I already knew that the banks basically owned our country but thankfully, you're going to make it official by giving the private fed the ability to absolutely override everyone else.

{"commentId":10594623,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"Jivatmanx"}
  • 1 vote
#2.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:37 AM EST
{"commentId":10598825,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

This is better known as "Government Dictatorship" or Communism, which is where we are headed in high gear, the government is and has been taking control over the American people with each new move they make where it gives them more power.

The way things have progressed in the last year it will not take more than 5 years for the people to no longer have the Bill of Rights, and the Constitution will read the way the government wants it too.

They pass laws Without the vote of the people, they make amendments to the constitution Without the vote of the people, and in fact in spite of the objections of the people, so that in essence we are already a socialist government dictatorship pushing its way to communism.

{"commentId":10598825,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
  • 1 vote
#2.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:25 PM EST
{"commentId":10600909,"authorDomain":"Jivatmanx"}

It's not government dictatorship because the Fed is private, not a government agency.

{"commentId":10600909,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"Jivatmanx"}
    #2.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 3:45 PM EST
    Reply
    {"commentId":10593265,"authorDomain":"tempestnam"}

    In all objectivity, unless the situation gets incredibly worse, Obama won't be blamed by most for the downturn or employment situation.

    If unemployment levels in 2010, and comes down to say 8% area by 2012, it's unlikely Obama will be defeated. That's just my opinion.

    {"commentId":10593265,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 10:38 AM EST
    {"commentId":10594193,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

    If unemployment levels in 2010, and comes down to say 8% area by 2012, it's unlikely Obama will be defeated.

    Nicey,

    If the unemployment rate was 8% when Barack took office, and the same or worse 4 years later, he will be defeated. He was elected to turn around the economy.

    {"commentId":10594193,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
    • 4 votes
    #3.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:20 AM EST
    {"commentId":10594363,"authorDomain":"texasvanity"}

    The Observer,

    What's sad is that haters like you actually want the economy to get worse, in the hopes that people who are as emotionally immature as you seem to be will blame Obama for not pushing some magic button and making jobs come out of thin air.

    We elected Obama for a complete change of course from the baby killer Bush, not to create jobs out of nothing in less than a year after we elected him.

    Get over yourself.

    {"commentId":10594363,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"texasvanity"}
    • 5 votes
    #3.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:26 AM EST
    {"commentId":10594441,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

    I'm a hater?

    Barack's anti-business policies are a disaster!

    My the mid-term elections, unemployment will still be in double digits!

    Obama owns the economy now!

    {"commentId":10594441,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
    • 7 votes
    #3.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:29 AM EST
    {"commentId":10594674,"authorDomain":"marcowhm"}

    If unemployment is at 10.2% now and it goes down to 8% by 2012, wouldn't that be turning unemployment around?

    {"commentId":10594674,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"marcowhm"}
    • 2 votes
    #3.4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:39 AM EST
    {"commentId":10594974,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

    Two years to knock it down 2%?

    No.

    {"commentId":10594974,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.5 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:52 AM EST
    {"commentId":10595372,"authorDomain":"marcowhm"}

    Granted, it would be preferable for it to be lower at any given time, but if unemployment is trending downward from where it is now, the fact is that it would have to be considered turned around at that point. Whether the rate of unemployment is where you or I would like it to be does not factor into that.

    {"commentId":10595372,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"marcowhm"}
    • 1 vote
    #3.6 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:10 PM EST
    {"commentId":10595637,"authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
    Nicey,
    If the unemployment rate was 8% when Barack took office, and the same or worse 4 years later, he will be defeated. He was elected to turn around the economy.

    Objectively, I think you're wrong. The majority of Americans place the blame for this entire situation on the previous whitehouse.

    Regardless of who was in office job losses were already deep at 500-600k a month, no one was going to change that instantly. All they will ask themselves mainly is if things are better than they were in February/March of this year.

    And for the majority of his supporters, on the surface, it's likely in November 2012 things will be better for them than they were at the bottom in Spring of 2009.

    {"commentId":10595637,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
      #3.7 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:22 PM EST
      {"commentId":10595844,"authorDomain":"tempestnam"}

      Two years to knock it down 2%?

      No.

      When unemployment peaked in 2003, it took more than 2 years just to get it down 1.3%

      When unemployment peaked in 1992, it took more than 2 years to get it down 2%

      Given the lack of explosive job growth available to us, it will take a while to get it lower. Previous to the Federal Reserve Takeover in 1983, almost all recessions saw quick recovery, but they also saw extremely quick downturns.

      The way the economy moves today is very reflective of the financial policies of the banking sector, which is heavily influenced by the Federal Reserve. Their management of downturns produces shallower downturns and a longer time to recover (usually).

      {"commentId":10595844,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
      • 1 vote
      #3.8 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:30 PM EST
      {"commentId":10595940,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
      Nicey,
      If the unemployment rate was 8% when Barack took office, and the same or worse 4 years later, he will be defeated. He was elected to turn around the economy.

      Objectively, I think you're wrong. The majority of Americans Obama-oids place the blame for this entire situation on the previous whitehouse.

      {"commentId":10595940,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
      • 2 votes
      #3.9 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:34 PM EST
      {"commentId":10596048,"authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
      The majority of Americans Obama-oids place the blame for this entire situation on the previous whitehouse.

      Polls of independent voters reveal otherwise. Easily the majority of independent voters place the blame on the previous admin.

      I don't really care about your political stance. That's just the way it is.

      {"commentId":10596048,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
        #3.10 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:39 PM EST
        {"commentId":10596106,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

        And more and more Americans are holding Obama responsible each and every month--as they should.

        That's just the way it is.

        {"commentId":10596106,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
        • 3 votes
        #3.11 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:41 PM EST
        {"commentId":10596703,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

        Observer- you're comments are a myopic joke. It's laughable how Republicans are sitting around waiting to see how it long it will take for Americans to forget the disaster of the Bush administration. We had a budget surplus under Clinton and you bankrupted the nation. Who knows, the American people may be dumb enough to believe you. I think you're betting on that, but I think your bet is wrong.

        And if you think that Pres Obama's support of TARP Part II was anti-business you have to be smoking something pretty powerful. If anything, it's the liberals who are pissed at him for corporate whoring on TARP.

        {"commentId":10596703,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
        • 1 vote
        #3.12 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:04 PM EST
        {"commentId":10597165,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

        You will give the Democrats infinite time to fix the economy.

        Most voters won't.

        Voters for the first time are blaming President Obama nearly as much as President Bush for the country’s continuing economic problems.

        A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 49% still blame the economic situation on the recession that began under Bush. But 45% now say the nation’s economic problems are caused more by Obama’s policies.

        Just a month ago, 55% pointed the finger at Bush, while only 37% said the policies Obama has put in place since taking office were at fault. These findings had remained largely unchanged since May.

        {"commentId":10597165,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
        • 2 votes
        #3.13 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:22 PM EST
        {"commentId":10619493,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

        Rasmussen is a shill for the Republican party. Their polls are fixed.

        {"commentId":10619493,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
          #3.14 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 2:05 PM EST
          {"commentId":10624718,"authorDomain":"awhite72"}
          Rasmussen is a shill for the Republican party. Their polls are fixed.

          Not a shred of evidence to support this ridiculous and debunked talking point. And for a shill for the GOP, Rasmussen was the only pollster to correctly poll the 2008 election to its actual total for the last few weeks of the election. NO ONE POLLED MORE ACCURATE. Look at the polls and than look at the results, for the last three weeks or so Rasmussen was the most accurate with the least volatility. Wanna know why? Rasmussen ALWAYS polls likely voters. Sir, you fail. Next!

          {"commentId":10624718,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"awhite72"}
          • 2 votes
          #3.15 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 5:58 PM EST
          {"commentId":10631307,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

          I always hear this bull@!$%# argument when I indicate that Rasmussen is fixed.

          When there's an actual outcome to predict (like election results) there is no incentive to rig the poll. What are they going to do, say that McCain is going win by a landslide?????

          But every other time, they rig the polls to favor the Republicans. When I first noticed this I went to their webpage and it had right-wing advertising all over it. After I made that comment, they changed the look of the homepage to make themselves a better shill.

          You may be able to fool the @!$%#s that listen to Fox news, but anyone who knows anything about polling knows that they're fixed.

          {"commentId":10631307,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
            #3.16 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 11:53 PM EST
            {"commentId":10633415,"authorDomain":"awhite72"}
            but anyone who knows anything about polling knows that they're fixed.

            Put up or shut up. Cite a source to back up your childish claim or admit you are a little child that when confronted with results you don't like cry, "wahhh it's rigged." SHow me the money, whiner!

            {"commentId":10633415,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"awhite72"}
            • 1 vote
            #3.17 - Thu Nov 12, 2009 6:43 AM EST
            Reply
            {"commentId":10593507,"authorDomain":"merlo54838"}

            If you didn't see this coming shame on you. Wait til they tax you for what you have left. Obama is a one termer.

            {"commentId":10593507,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"merlo54838"}
            • 2 votes
            Reply#4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 10:50 AM EST
            {"commentId":10596742,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

            The Republicans have absolutely no one who can defeat him in 2012. If he's a one-termer, tell me who is going to beat him in 2012. Lets assume that unemployment goes to 50% and we find out that he's an alien from from Nebulon via Kenya. Who is going to beat him in 2012? Tell me.

            {"commentId":10596742,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
            • 1 vote
            #4.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:06 PM EST
            {"commentId":10597195,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

            I'll run...

            {"commentId":10597195,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
            • 3 votes
            #4.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:23 PM EST
            {"commentId":10597422,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

            The republicans don’t need anyone to defeat obama he defeated himself, obama is an economic disaster, either that or a skillful and cunning nation destroyer.

            Either way he is the last thing this country needs in Washington and the first thing it needs to get rid of.

            {"commentId":10597422,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
            • 2 votes
            #4.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:31 PM EST
            {"commentId":10597619,"authorDomain":"rhwengr"}
            I'll run...

            I voted! The Observer wins!

            {"commentId":10597619,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"rhwengr"}
              #4.4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:38 PM EST
              {"commentId":10598200,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

              I knew I could count on your support...

              {"commentId":10598200,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
              • 3 votes
              #4.5 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:01 PM EST
              {"commentId":10619518,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

              Yea, that's what I thought.

              {"commentId":10619518,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
                #4.6 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 2:06 PM EST
                Reply
                {"commentId":10593599,"authorDomain":"palsgrafman"}

                This info always makes me think of the bank commercials (not sure which bank, if even) where the kids are lured in by the offer but are surprised by the "fine print".

                The gist of the tag line is that even kids know B.S. when they smell it.

                Hey kids, wanna avoid 9% unemployment? Well, we need your cooperation in passing these stimulus bills then.

                {"commentId":10593599,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"palsgrafman"}
                  Reply#5 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 10:54 AM EST
                  {"commentId":10593835,"authorDomain":"rhwengr"}

                  Really?

                  And I made the mistake of thinking the Stimulus money was going to go to the right places.

                  What a doof I was!

                  Has this administration figured out the problem yet or just throwing darts still? Inquiring minds want to know.

                  {"commentId":10593835,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"rhwengr"}
                  • 1 vote
                  Reply#6 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:05 AM EST
                  {"commentId":10594978,"authorDomain":"s-heraclituss"}

                  Wasn't it Obama that claimed his plan will CREATE 2.5 million Jobs by 2011? Instead under his watch we have seen Job LOSES at a rate of .5M per month. In order to reach his goal he would have to create 7.5 million (the 5M already lost + his New 2.5M, Saved Jobs don't count as they are neither a gain or a lose). Something tells me this plan of his was just a ruse to help him get elected. He has no intention of creating jobs. His intention seems to be to create a dependent electorate. One that is dependent on the welfare state he seems to want to create.

                  {"commentId":10594978,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"s-heraclituss"}
                  • 3 votes
                  Reply#7 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:52 AM EST
                  {"commentId":10595391,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

                  Friday's jump in the unemployment rate into double digit could not have come at worse time--just before Christmas.

                  It will have a further chilling on retail sales.

                  {"commentId":10595391,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
                  • 3 votes
                  #7.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:11 PM EST
                  {"commentId":10596772,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

                  you must be thrilled about that

                  {"commentId":10596772,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
                    #7.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:07 PM EST
                    {"commentId":10597214,"authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}

                    Just stating a fact.

                    Facts seem to bother you, NP...

                    {"commentId":10597214,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"TheObserver1"}
                      #7.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:23 PM EST
                      {"commentId":10597450,"authorDomain":"awhite72"}
                      Facts seem to bother you, NP...

                      Just the ones that make BO look bad

                      {"commentId":10597450,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"awhite72"}
                      • 3 votes
                      #7.4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:32 PM EST
                      Reply
                      {"commentId":10594982,"authorDomain":"DrKnow"}

                      Finally the cheerleaders for the Administration have had to face the facts! There was no way the POTUS could have turned things around. Typical of the Congress, they played the blame game instead of really looking for causes and solutions. They just did what they always have. Throw money at the problem. Of course it was NOT THEIR money.

                      {"commentId":10594982,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"DrKnow"}
                      • 3 votes
                      Reply#8 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:52 AM EST
                      {"commentId":10595169,"authorDomain":"IsabellaSterrin"}

                      When are you people going to wake up and realize that we are not in a recovery???!!! There can be NO recovery when there are NO jobs to be had!!! Simple as that!! If this economy is 70% consumer driven and the consumers have NO jobs, how the hell can we be in a recovery? Even the Feds are admitting that, "weak recovery won't spur jobs." DUH!!! What gave them a friggin clue??

                      America's job base is gone. Manufacturing jobs are few and far between and will practically be non-existant in the near future. Service related jobs cannot employ millions of people. McDonalds, Family Dollar and Dollar Tree cannot employ all the millions who have lost their jobs. Even though grocery stores are doing a booming business, even they can't hire millions of people. In fact, the grocery store that I shop at has gotten rid of some cashiers and brought in self-serve stations. Machines have taken the place of what people used to do and add to that the low wages received by overseas workers and Americans don't stand a chance of retrieving even a miniscule amount of the jobs already lost.

                      In other words, kiss America as you knew it goodbye!!! Better yet, the fat lady sung her song and went home along with our jobs, overseas!!!!

                      {"commentId":10595169,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"IsabellaSterrin"}
                      • 6 votes
                      Reply#9 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:01 PM EST
                      {"commentId":10595839,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                      Correct you are, Isabella. Anyone who shops at Family Dollar, Dollar General, Target, WalMart, Costco and anyplace else where foreign-made products make up more than 50% of the inventory are part of the problem. These retailers are instrumental in sucking vast billions of dollars out of the American economy for the benefit of overseas manufacturers.

                      The stupid people continue to be chumps for increasingly wealthy middlemen who don't actually produce anything. They believe the lobbyist-funded lies of their Congressional lackeys and show up at rallies with banners screaming socialism, communism, nazism and other "isms" about which they have no clue, wearing American flag emblazoned t-shirts that were made in China.

                      Our continued lust for cheap, foreign-made goods, combined with our continued ignorance about how the financial services industry works, is dragging us down. Our children and grandchildren will experience continued deterioration in their standard of living, as the wilfully ignorant among us fail and fail and fail again to address our true challenges as they look for the easy villian - as long as he's black, or gay, or non-christian.

                      {"commentId":10595839,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                      • 5 votes
                      #9.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:30 PM EST
                      {"commentId":10596436,"authorDomain":"blindsided1194485"}

                      That's the situation in a nutshell. Wal- Mart has replaced General Motors as the nations largest employer. All our manufacturing jobs have been siphoned off through NAFTA and CAFTA. Corporations would rather set up bussiness in a communist or third world country than pay American workers a decent wage. This has been in the making since the mid 80's. Find a copy of Michael Moore's " Downsize This." He forecast this years ago. Our economy will never return to what it was unless there is a infusion of middle class wage manufacturing jobs. We're in a race to the bottom.

                      {"commentId":10596436,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"blindsided1194485"}
                        #9.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:54 PM EST
                        {"commentId":10596814,"authorDomain":"netprophet"}

                        moving jobs overseas where wages are lower is good for big business...guess who gave tax breaks to corporations for setting up shot overseas...hint..it wasn't Obama...

                        {"commentId":10596814,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"netprophet"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #9.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:09 PM EST
                        Reply
                        {"commentId":10595543,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                        Of course, the wilfully ignorant will crow about the impact of the President's policies in this situation, ignoring that outside of the stimulus, most of those policies have yet to be implemented and that the stimulus helped to stave off economic armaggeddon.

                        The jobless recoveries we have experienced (this is the third in a row) is a direct result of deregulation in the financial services business which among other things rendered irrelevant the tools that the Federal Reserve historically pulled to support recovery. In 1999, President Clinton signed legislation from the republican-led Congress (the Gramm-Bliley Act) which repealed the Glass-Stegall Act. which separated investment banking (non lending brokerage) from commercial banking (lending). The legislation allowed broker-dealers, commercial banks and insurance companies to rest under the same ownership. Because shareholder capital is naturally going to seek the lowest cost business activities that produce the highest margins, institutions increasingly replaced loans - which require underwriting, monitoring and other more expensive activities - with holdings in other assets, some of them increasingly exotic and difficult to understand fundamentally. They relied on co-opted rating agencies to tell them the level of risk involved in such instruments. Concurrently, many non-bank financial institutions were originating mortgage loans (75% of subprime loans were orignated by non-banks) that investment banks would then bundle and sell, again to the balance sheets of other financial institutions. The rest is history.

                        The Fed controls the economy by making money easy (to rev it up) or tight (to slow it down). Historically, reving the economy up ment increasing the money supply to bring down interest rates, making it more attractive for companies to borrow money from banks. But what if the banks and other financial institutions were less concerned about making loans (particularly to small and medium-sized businesses) and more concerned about generating more of the other secondary and derivative assets on their balance sheets? A loose money supply stance on the part of the Fed no longer produces the kind of job-creating activity that it used to.

                        Gramm-Bliley wasn't the only piece of deregulatory legislation that helped create this mess. The Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 (signed by President Carter) lowered mandatory reserve requirements. The Garn-St. Germain Depostitory Institutions Act (signed by Reagan) doubled the percentage of non-residential direct investments that savings and loan institutions could hold. Finally, the Basel Accord exempted marketable securities (which as we know became unmarketable) from reserve requirements. As if this weren't enough, Congressman Gramm's wife Wendy was instrumental in getting swaps and derivatives totally exempt from regulation. Of course, after finishing her job at the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, she continued her efforts to destroy the financial well-being of Americans from her board seat at Enron Corporation.

                        There is a lot about the financial services industry that needs to be fixed. With regulation. With oversight. With diligence. Never before in the history of the United States has so few people made so much money doing something that creates so little real value to the economy of the United States. The increased availability of capital through easy, unregulated securitization - combined with loose monetary policy - bid up the value of assets way above their true economic (cash flow generation) value. Those assets looked great on the balance sheets of financial institutions for a while. We know what happened next. And now, because so much capital is tied up in assets that don't create jobs, even the Federal Reserve holding interest rates near zero fails to spur the lending to small and medium-sized businesses that is key to job creation.

                        The stupid people gleefully blame President Obama. There is plenty of bipartisan blame to go around, but blaming the one trying to fix it speaks to how tragically vacuous so many people have become.

                        {"commentId":10595543,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                        • 6 votes
                        Reply#10 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:18 PM EST
                        {"commentId":10595994,"authorDomain":"tempestnam"}

                        Good assessment.

                        My counter, even though I do like Obama, is he is not doing enough to take on all these issues you just mentioned.

                        He should be very directly telling the Fed to open up the loan market for SBA. He should make it his public stance that any banks not helping originate small business loans will come under the full weight and pressure of the bodies who regulate them.

                        We should not be changing mark to market rules as the Senate influenced to be done in March, we should not be enabling banks to continue to operate with 1% Cap reserve to asset ratios.

                        {"commentId":10595994,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"tempestnam"}
                        • 2 votes
                        #10.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:37 PM EST
                        {"commentId":10596181,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                        I agree, Nicey. I'm concerned that the Administration does not fully understand the depths to which the financial services business has fallen in terms of individual self-interest, rendering stimulus efforts increasingly difficult. Any remaining stimulus should go toward small and medium-sized business in the form of low interest loans and employment tax credits. Let asset values fall to market levels and support homeowners directly. It is shareholders that should be taking the brunt of their failure to keep managements in check. It is the boards of directors that should be taken to task for their short-sightedness. The financial institutions never wanted the responsibility for doing their part in maintaining a stable world economy. They should receive absolutely no benefit from the government's efforts to fix what they have destroyed.

                        {"commentId":10596181,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                        • 3 votes
                        #10.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 12:44 PM EST
                        {"commentId":10598569,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                        dwillie,

                        You analysis appears to focus on a few of the more obscure issues and misses the major problems that led to the crisis.

                        The subprime fiasco was key, which was created by the initially low interest rates from 2001-2006, which went up a few percent in 2006 due to inflation. The low interest rates of course encouraged home purchases, and the rising rates hit especially the adjustable-rate mortgages hard and people could no longer afford to pay for what they bought. The government also coached the banks from the sidelines to give loans to higher-risk groups in the name of "affordable housing". The noble idea is that everyone should be able to own a home, but when you artificially open up the market to those who naturally would be unable to be a part of it, you increase risk. Also the number of homes being built until 2007 hurt demand fell while supply was increasing, weakening the value of real estate.

                        You are right that rating agencies misestimated the risk involved, but mostly subprime mortgages were misestimated, because large, reliable companies were buying up bundles of these. Of course everyone knows that the subprime crisis spread to the rest of the economy because risk was spread out among many institutions. Financial institutions around the world wrote off bad assets when so many US mortgages started to default.

                        Many things followed as a result of the subprime crisis, but that seems to be what really started everything off. Who is at fault in the housing crisis? Everyone. The people who made unwise investments. The system that views home buying as an investment to be made on credit and not a lower-risk model of purchase. The banks that indulged risky loans. The government that encouraged banks to make risky loans. Everyone would like to blame everyone else, but everyone is at fault. We need to come back down to reality.

                        {"commentId":10598569,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                          #10.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:16 PM EST
                          {"commentId":10601171,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                          Everdrift, the so-called "obscure" issues I point out were the precursor of the debacle to come. Financial institutions held paper they had no business holding. They could hold it because their capital requirements were lower and the instruments were unregulated. The obscurity of these issues is precisely why they were implemented. Few were watching and even fewer had a clue of the impacts and implications of these measures.

                          No doubt the federal government was encouraging of home purchases among those who historically did not benefit from real estate ownership. But I would submit that the impact of this encouragement is wildly overstated. The federal government controls banks, not the non-bank financial institutions from which the vast majority of subprime loans originated. Several studies into last year's financial debacle confirm that FDIC provisions such as the Community Reinvestment Act were not contributors to the problem:

                          http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/pub_display.cfm?id=4136

                          Further, far more defaults occurred in mortgages taken out by middle class people buying second homes and people speculating on real estate than they did among lower income people taking out standard mortgages for primary residences. Finally, you seem to ignore the significant prevelence of mortgage fraud that occurred among the non-bank institutions.

                          You are correct in stating that many people contributed to the problem. You overstate greatly, however, the impact of regulatory intervention on behalf of first-time home buyers.

                          {"commentId":10601171,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #10.4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 3:53 PM EST
                          {"commentId":10610895,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                          dwillie,

                          Perhaps you are not aware of the role of HUD as a regulator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. HUD created quotas for these institutions that dictated what percentage of their lending was to be for subprime mortgages. I'm pretty sure this is the main reason subprime loans went from 7 percent of all mortgage loans in 2001 to 19 percent in 2006. HUD created the pressure for that market shift to happen. If you can disprove this or offer a better theory, please do.

                          The federal government may not "control" non-bank financial institutions, but banks aren't the only institutions that sell mortgages to Fannie and Freddie.

                          {"commentId":10610895,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #10.5 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 11:54 PM EST
                          {"commentId":10622495,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                          I'm very aware of HUD, Fannie and Freddie. I clearly acknowledge bi-partisan government interest in expanding home ownership and the efforts put forth by Fannie and Freddie to do so. But empirical evidence clearly shows that the thesis you attempt to advance wildly overstates the issue.

                          http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/53802.html

                          The private sector decisions of individuals, businesses and institutions brought the world to the brink of financial disaster. The ideological need to blame so called social engineering on the part of government and the more sinister need on the part of some (not you, Everdrift) to find easy scapegoats among low income and minority groups both obfuscate the most important lessons from the debacle and increase the chance that problem reoccurs.

                          BTW, you incorrectly assert:

                          HUD created quotas for these institutions that dictated what percentage of their lending was to be for subprime mortgages.

                          Fannie and Freddie don't lend or originate loans. They purchase and securitize mortgages originated by others.

                          {"commentId":10622495,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #10.6 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 4:15 PM EST
                          {"commentId":10627865,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                          The story you linked to has me confused. It appears to contradict itself when it says that:

                          "In an effort to promote affordable home ownership for minorities and rural whites, the Department of Housing and Urban Development set targets for Fannie and Freddie in 1992 to purchase low-income loans for sale into the secondary market that eventually reached this number: 52 percent of loans given to low-to moderate-income families."

                          And then follows up with:

                          "But these loans, and those to low- and moderate-income families represent a small portion of overall lending."

                          Obviously 52 percent is not a small portion of overall lending. Are they referring to the monetary value of these loans versus the value of lower-risk loans?

                          I'm aware that Fannie and Freddie securitize mortgages, I merely misworded that sentence. I meant that HUD sets goals for what percentage of mortgages they purchase are to be for lower-income groups.

                          I'm not at all convinced that the evidence suggests the role of affordable housing policies in the economic crisis is minor. I've read quite a bit of evidence that suggests it was a major factor. I know it's not the only factor, and I couldn't really break down exactly what caused how much, but I'm confident that it was part of the crisis. "The Housing Boom and Bust" by Thomas Sowell is a fine collection of evidence showing the centrality of housing policy to the economic cycles of this market. If you have not read it, I would recommend it as a challenge to your views.

                          {"commentId":10627865,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                            #10.7 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 8:29 PM EST
                            {"commentId":10651758,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                            The story does not contradict itself. You are simply applying 52% to the wrong piece of data. The quote clearly states:

                            "52 percent of loans given to low-to moderate-income families."

                            Which is a lot different than "52 percent is not a small portion of overall lending".

                            I don't know what percentage of overall lending went to low-to-moderate income families. But whatever that number is, Fannie and Freddie bought 52% of that - a portion of a portion, not a portion of the whole. You are buying into incorrect hyperbole.

                            The "blame-the-government" crowd ignores a very important point: that Fannie and Freddie purchases of subprime loans was far above goals for affordable housing, which were easily met with a handful of multi-family housing complexes. Clearly, the motivation for jumping head-first into subprime was not driven by goals, quotas, or social engineering interests. Reference after reference, study after study and analysis after analysis point to a business decision to capture market share. Here is another one if you care to read it. Here is a quote from the article:

                            But HUD never told Fannie and Freddie to jump into the subprime market. Both chose to dive into subprime mortgage securities, and the purpose wasn’t to satisfy regulators — it was to increase market share, Cecala said. Afterward, they asked HUD if some of the securities they purchased could count toward their affordable housing goals. HUD agreed.

                            Fannie and Freddie were huge players in the subprime market, buying 48 percent of all subprime-mortgage-backed securities offered in 2004 — way above anything they would ever need to meet affordable housing goals. They continued to buy loans made to multi-family dwellings, as in the past, to satisfy regulators.

                            Despite claims to the contrary, the two did not rely, for the most part, on subprime securities to meet their regulator’s goals. In any case, the majority of subprime loans were refinancings, which wouldn’t have counted anyway.

                            “Everybody and their dog had refinanced their prime-rate mortgage” by 2003, Cecala said. And there was no way to make money except by aggressively moving into subprime — meaning it was a business decision by Fannie and Freddie, not a government-mandated one.

                            When looking at the evidence, I conclude your confidence to be misplaced. Fannie and Freddie acted to maximize revenue and profits for their shareholders by buying as many sub-prime loans as possible, far above any goals established by HUD. Like everyone else, they tried to make more money and blew themselves up.

                            I may take you up on Dr. Sowell's treatise on housing, but I can't promise priority status for it on an already long reading list. I've read a couple of Dr. Sowell's works (Ethnic America is one I remember specifically) and found them more to be searches for support of pre-established perspectives than efforts to let the evidence serve as guideposts to conclusions.

                            {"commentId":10651758,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                            • 2 votes
                            #10.8 - Thu Nov 12, 2009 11:15 PM EST
                            {"commentId":10665973,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                            I don't know what percentage of overall lending went to low-to-moderate income families. But whatever that number is, Fannie and Freddie bought 52% of that - a portion of a portion, not a portion of the whole. You are buying into incorrect hyperbole.

                            I see, so F&F bought 52% of the low-to-moderate income mortgages, which is itself a percentage of overall lending. That's still very significant, I don't know how you can write that off. If there was a subprime crisis, and Fannie and Freddie are sitting there holding 52% of the loans (a number subject to change according to the article in discussion) then Fannie and Freddie are an integral part of the subprime crisis. Their books suffer when subprime mortages turn toxic, and their business decisions would have an impact on the market as a whole. Bear in mind that I am asserting that the subprime crisis was largely responsible for toppling the whole stack of dominoes. Therefore the high percentage of low-income mortgage holdings by F&F becomes a cornerstone in this theory. I think you would agree with this, you would simply say that housing policy did not motivate F&F to buy so many risky assets.

                            Reference after reference, study after study and analysis after analysis point to a business decision to capture market share.

                            Thank you for making your position clear and for providing evidence to support it. I may have enough evidence to consider re-evaluating my views in a serious manner. But I would still like to point out that while I may be advocating the "blame-government first" view as you put it, you are obviously on the side of the "blame industry first" crowd. The articles you are linking to have a clear bias towards defending housing policy and assigning blame to private decision. It may well be the case, I'll need to research more, but I have to be wary of your assertions because they fit very neatly within an established ideology.

                            {"commentId":10665973,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                            • 1 vote
                            #10.9 - Fri Nov 13, 2009 3:44 PM EST
                            {"commentId":10666520,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                            So, you'll be interested to know that I have just emailed Dr. Sowell asking him about your claims that F&F went far beyond the quotas set for them by HUD and were motivated by profits. I hope he responds. I have a lot of respect for the man!

                            {"commentId":10666520,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                              #10.10 - Fri Nov 13, 2009 4:09 PM EST
                              {"commentId":10666766,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                              Well, I'm attempting to email him at least. The first attempt failed so I'm trying to go through the webmaster at the Hoover institute. Wish me luck!

                              {"commentId":10666766,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                                #10.11 - Fri Nov 13, 2009 4:20 PM EST
                                {"commentId":10675911,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                                Hi Everdrift. I apologize for not being responding sooner. I do agree that decisions in the private sector - among borrowers, lenders, investors and yes, F&F - all helped create the global financial meltdown we experienced last year. Government did have a role as well, I just don't believe that the evidence points to "social engineering" as the culprit. Government set the stage by lowering capital requirements, eliminating regulations on derivative financial products and allowing the co-mingling of assets of varying complexity and risk under common ownership. I blame industry first because the various industry players made fatally flawed decisions on their own in the name of making more money.

                                Good luck on reaching out to Dr. Sowell. Though I disagree with him sometimes vehemently, I consider him to be a very accomplished man whose views must be seriously considered.

                                BTW, I have enjoyed our conversation.

                                {"commentId":10675911,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                                • 2 votes
                                #10.12 - Sat Nov 14, 2009 9:00 AM EST
                                {"commentId":10817698,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                                Dwillie,

                                I got hold of Dr. Sowell by email. Here is what I wrote and what he wrote:

                                I am a great admirer of your work and have read several of your books. I recently engaged in an extended debate over the housing crisis with an apparently well-versed liberal. He made the claim that Fannie and Freddie's activity in the subprime market was not largely motivated by the need to meet quotas set by HUD, because in fact they went far beyond the quotas in their holdings of lower income mortgages. Here is what he said:

                                " Fannie and Freddie acted to maximize revenue and profits for their shareholders by buying as many sub-prime loans as possible, far above any goals established by HUD. Like everyone else, they tried to make more money and blew themselves up."

                                I have read and own your book "The Housing Boom and Bust", and I think it is a fantastic collection of evidence and lucid interpretation of the housing crisis. But I was at a bit of a loss as to how to respond to the gentleman's claim. Is his claim true? Does it weaken the position that housing policy, especially HUD regulations, were an integral part of the housing crisis?

                                Thank you for taking the time to read this!

                                Regards, Mark Ford

                                And the response:

                                Dear Mr. Ford,

                                Without some documented specifics to back up what was asserted, replying to this assertion with a counter-assertion would not clarify anything. Since I am currently preparing a second edition of the housing book, I would be genuinely interested in specifics.

                                Incidentally, you can reach me directly at my e-mail address: sowell@stanford.edu.

                                Thomas Sowell

                                So, can you provide any documented specifics for Dr. Sowell? This could be a unique opportunity, there is a chance he could revise the 2nd edition of "The Housing Boom and Bust" with your data and your argument in mind.

                                {"commentId":10817698,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                                  #10.13 - Sat Nov 21, 2009 1:44 PM EST
                                  Reply
                                  {"commentId":10596641,"authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}

                                  We need MORE stimulus money, because on the macroeconomic scale everything works differently. If one person stops spending to save, that's good, but if EVERYONE stops spending money, no one makes any money, and the whole thing dies.

                                  {"commentId":10596641,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}
                                    Reply#11 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:02 PM EST
                                    {"commentId":10598454,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

                                    Spending more money now is like the fire department showing up at the fire with a can of gas, WHICH DON”T WORK, it makes it worse.

                                    If obama had let the automakers, banks and Wall Street go under it would have hurt the country, BUT it would not have killed us, now the people are in a tax debt that will take 200 years to try and catch up with.

                                    This insurance plan of his IS NOT GOING TO BE FREE, it doesn’t matter whether it’s 900 billion or 2.1 trillion, the tax payer is going to have to PAY THAT MONEY BACK.

                                    Obama is not paying for this, WE ARE, congress has no vested interest in this, WE DO, You don’t SPEND, SPEND, SPEND when you Don’t have, don’t have, don’t have.

                                    That is second grade math, the more they spend the higher taxes will go, and with hundreds of thousands out of work the tax burden falls to the rest of us.

                                    They cannot collect taxes from people who have no income, but they sure can the rest of the people who do, sometimes you just have to STOP and live on what you got because you cannot go out and SPEND money you don’t have!

                                    That seems to be something obama and congress don’t understand, it is beginning to look like they all flunked the sandbox at kindergarten, not just math class.

                                    {"commentId":10598454,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
                                    • 1 vote
                                    #11.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:12 PM EST
                                    {"commentId":10598716,"authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}

                                    Wildcard, times like these are when increased government spending is ESSENTIAL because public demand has to take up some of the slack left by private demand.

                                    f obama had let the automakers, banks and Wall Street go under it would have hurt the country, BUT it would not have killed us

                                    Oh, yes it would. We were experiencing bank-runs of trillions of dollars per day - even healthy responsible banks could not withstand that kind of run for long! How is the market going to correct itself if the flow of money stops entirely?!? People tend to die in large numbers with prolonged 'corrections'.

                                    {"commentId":10598716,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}
                                      #11.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:21 PM EST
                                      {"commentId":10612686,"authorDomain":"everdrift"}

                                      times like these are when increased government spending is ESSENTIAL because public demand has to take up some of the slack left by private demand.

                                      This is dangerous when you consider what public money is. Public money is either taxpayer money, newly printed dollars from the Fed, or money borrowed from other countries. Use taxpayer money to "take up some of the slack left by private demand", and wind up in the same hole you found yourself in. You rob Peter to pay Paul, but Peter is struggling right now. Print more money, and you risk Argentine inflation numbers. Borrow more money from overseas, and increase the national debt, which will probably necessitate the printing of more money to monetize the debt, which leaves you with the same problem you had with printing money in the first place.

                                      The solution is basically to allow market corrections to take place, I believe. Cushioning the fall may be acceptable, but propping up a corpse is just a charade, a weekend at Bernie's. Bailouts are band-aids on broken legs.


                                      {"commentId":10612686,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"everdrift"}
                                        #11.3 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 6:13 AM EST
                                        Reply
                                        {"commentId":10596861,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

                                        Will somebody please tell me what part of this is a RECESSION and what is not a full blown DEPRESSION?

                                        {"commentId":10596861,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
                                        • 1 vote
                                        Reply#12 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:11 PM EST
                                        {"commentId":10596886,"authorDomain":"missannthropy"}

                                        The good times are over. Permanently. This country is being assimilated into a world governmental structure, ruled over by an unelected banking elite. Don't look for any government program to reverse the course of this country. Our demise has been in the works for decades, and the sheep have been living and shopping in denial. Party's over folks let the pain begin.

                                        {"commentId":10596886,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"missannthropy"}
                                        • 3 votes
                                        Reply#13 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:11 PM EST
                                        {"commentId":10601485,"authorDomain":"chiwillie"}

                                        Miss Ann, we vote for that unelected banking elite with every dollar we spend on an item not manufactured in the United States. You are right about one thing: this has been going on for decades.

                                        {"commentId":10601485,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"chiwillie"}
                                        • 3 votes
                                        #13.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 4:04 PM EST
                                        Reply
                                        {"commentId":10597136,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

                                        "Given the lack of explosive job growth available to us, it will take a while to get it lower. Previous to the Federal Reserve Takeover in 1983, almost all recessions saw quick recovery, but they also saw extremely quick downturns."

                                        The way obama is going at it, it will take a lot longer than “a while” it never will happen, so far all he has done is make government more powerful and bigger, put us all into a huge tax debt, and push for a insurance bill that will only add to our tax burden.

                                        For things to “turn around” they have to DO SOMETHING, not just talk about it, and they need to STOP SPENDING money like it grows on trees, Oh, sorry, obama has the printing press doesn’t he!

                                        {"commentId":10597136,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
                                        • 3 votes
                                        Reply#14 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:20 PM EST
                                        {"commentId":10597273,"authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}

                                        Stop spending?! Where's this magical plan for recovery that doesn't involve spending money? Stopping spending would be DISASTROUS - who's going to make money if no one buys stuff?

                                        {"commentId":10597273,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}
                                        • 1 vote
                                        #14.1 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:25 PM EST
                                        {"commentId":10597398,"authorDomain":"merlo54838"}

                                        The first stimulus didn't work and we can't afford another. Government needs to stay out of private business and things will get better, But with redistribution of wealthcare and cap and trade it ain't going to happen.

                                        {"commentId":10597398,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"merlo54838"}
                                        • 2 votes
                                        #14.2 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:30 PM EST
                                        {"commentId":10597629,"authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}

                                        Yes, it did work, it just wasn't big enough, and we cannot afford NOT to spend more. Where did you learn about macroeconomics? If Government allowed the bank-runs of 2008 to continue as they did, the financial system would have totally collapsed and we'd be in depression.l

                                        {"commentId":10597629,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}
                                          #14.3 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:38 PM EST
                                          {"commentId":10597726,"authorDomain":"rhwengr"}

                                          Your of the Biden School of economics aren't you More Than Happy!

                                          Got to spend money to lose money, then they can raise taxes!

                                          {"commentId":10597726,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"rhwengr"}
                                          • 2 votes
                                          #14.4 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:42 PM EST
                                          {"commentId":10597772,"authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}

                                          It's supply and demand - if demand crashes, supply won't make any money. It's how we got out of the Depression - the funding of a great deal of public works projects, which then gets spent upon food, shelter, medicine, recreation, etc. When they insisted upon a balanced budget in such a crisis, that dragged out the Depression for another 3 to 5 years.

                                          {"commentId":10597772,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}
                                            #14.5 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:43 PM EST
                                            {"commentId":10597832,"authorDomain":"rhwengr"}

                                            So what has the Stimulus, around 1/4 of the total has been spent on, to get supply and demand going?

                                            Where did the TARP Money go? Hasn't that one still been waiting in the wings to be spent?

                                            {"commentId":10597832,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"rhwengr"}
                                              #14.6 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:46 PM EST
                                              {"commentId":10597843,"authorDomain":"lvh"}

                                              If there are any incomes left to tax.

                                              {"commentId":10597843,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"lvh"}
                                                #14.7 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:46 PM EST
                                                {"commentId":10597931,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

                                                More Than Happy

                                                “Stop spending?! Where's this magical plan for recovery that doesn't involve spending money? Stopping spending would be DISASTROUS - who's going to make money if no one buys stuff?”

                                                What do you do when you have no money at your house? Run out and buy a bunch of stuff? The only thing obama’s “spending plan” has done so far is bail out bankrupt companies that some of still went out of business WITH OUR MONEY LOST, and put us in deeper debt and higher taxes. Yes STOP SPENDING

                                                {"commentId":10597931,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
                                                • 2 votes
                                                #14.8 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:49 PM EST
                                                {"commentId":10598001,"authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}

                                                Well where I live, several major roads have undergone big refurbishments, new snow plows, police cruisers, stuff like that. Despite the hype, government spending often goes right back into the private sector.

                                                What do you do when you have no money at your house? Run out and buy a bunch of stuff?

                                                No, but I reiterate - things work differently on the macroeconomic scale. If EVERYONE hoarded money, businesses wouldn't make any money, so they couldn't offer jobs, and the entire loop would collapse. Governments never truly run out of money; they must be aware of the reaction of the markets, but when push comes to shove, the faith and credit of the United States is still pretty good.

                                                {"commentId":10598001,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"b-shaughnessy"}
                                                • 1 vote
                                                #14.9 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:52 PM EST
                                                {"commentId":10598107,"authorDomain":"thomasdaddy1"}

                                                Come on people. Either you are not listening or you just don't want to hear!

                                                The TARP was created to help struggling businesses, and to decrease the amount of jobs lost (which it has done).

                                                The Stimulus was created to save and ceate 2.5 million jobs over 2 years. According to my calender it's been 9 months!

                                                I can not be the only person that heard those words come out of the presidents mouth!!

                                                {"commentId":10598107,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"thomasdaddy1"}
                                                • 3 votes
                                                #14.10 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:56 PM EST
                                                {"commentId":10598999,"authorDomain":"thomasdaddy1"}

                                                Wild,

                                                Sometimes you have to spend money to save money! If my heating and cooling bills in my house are extremely high on a monthly basis I'm going to have to spend $5k-$10k for new energy efficient windows to save that money down the road and make the value of my house go up! Saying don't spend and money makes not sense. Obama also spend money on beefing up the medicare fraud department to save that $60 billion dollars that is defrauded each year in this country! Should he have no spent $200 million to try and save $60 Billion?

                                                has done so far is bail out bankrupt companies that some of still went out of business WITH OUR MONEY LOST, and put us in deeper debt and higher taxes.

                                                See, you are focused on disagreeing with the Presidents decision so you draw no attention to the positive aspect of anything he's done. how about the banks that continued to lend to small businesses because of government money? Do yuo realize that if a bank that is FDIC insured goes under the government is on the hook for the money??? Why not spend the money to keep the bank open, people working, instead of letting the bank fold, having to fire employees, and keeping the small businesses that rely on these banks for lines of credit from having to go out and secure credit from another bank that probably wouldn't be so willing to lend? You, like most don't think big picture! Obama hasn't even made a dent in the debt this country owes! We owed China over $750 billion before Obama was sworn in, and now we owe them just over $800 billion (part of which is interest on the outstanding debt), so please give this "Obama is bankrupting the country" BS a rest!

                                                {"commentId":10598999,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"thomasdaddy1"}
                                                • 2 votes
                                                #14.11 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:31 PM EST
                                                Reply
                                                {"commentId":10597395,"authorDomain":"corpspongov"}
                                                corpspongovDeleted
                                                {"commentId":10597463,"authorDomain":"wildcard473"}

                                                The Observer

                                                "I'll run..."

                                                You'll Win!!!!

                                                {"commentId":10597463,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"wildcard473"}
                                                • 3 votes
                                                Reply#16 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:33 PM EST
                                                {"commentId":10597812,"authorDomain":"mike-1461769"}

                                                sdfsf

                                                {"commentId":10597812,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"mike-1461769"}
                                                  Reply#17 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 1:45 PM EST
                                                  {"commentId":10607251,"authorDomain":"rayadaps1954"}

                                                  Bah HUMBUG !!!!!

                                                  {"commentId":10607251,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"rayadaps1954"}
                                                    Reply#18 - Tue Nov 10, 2009 8:32 PM EST
                                                    {"commentId":10607597,"authorDomain":"maidiolc"}
                                                    maidiolcDeleted
                                                    {"commentId":10626184,"authorDomain":"lampell"}

                                                    When you are a candidate for office it is logical to blame the current administration for the woes. If you win office because of those same woes, it really shouldnt be necessary to continue blaiming those woes on your predecessor because without those woes you wouldnt be in office in the first place. In the corporate world if you are brought in to turn a company around and you dont, you become the previous administration.

                                                    Too many people think that Presidents should be credited or blamed for recessions or booms. The President can lend moral support with regarding economics but thats about it. They can have more affect when it comes to foreign policy which is why so many Presidents make so many foreign trips. I dont credit Bush with the boom nor do I blame him for the bust. It would seem that the current administration would like to have their cake and eat it too, if the economy doesnt recover its the others guys fault but if it does recover its their credit. To credit the recovery on a stimulus, one third of which was tax cuts its a specious argument. With one hand people say, give it time, it hasnt really been spent and on the other hand its been credited for "stabilizing" the economy. Which is it? The Fed has spent trillions stabilizing the economy, how could a stimulus have done all this. In order to pass the bill they had to state that unemployment would go up without it, and instead it went up anyway. Their response to that? Oh, it would have been even worse. Even the best salesman shouldnt be allowed to get away with such nonsensical arguments.

                                                    Having been in finance and a keen observier of history all I can say is that every country has its day. Maybe in 20 or 30 years this country will be just that, another country just like all the others. Our strangelhod over the world economy is over and we should get used to it. Nothing the govt does or doesnt do will make us any better or for that matter worse. In the old days maybe we could spend our way out of recession, we had the manufacturing and economic firepower to recover those deficits. When less than 10pct of the workforce is involved with manufacturing we cant do this anymore. Even the President has announced that we will have to come up with a more innovative way of getting out of the recession and more deficit financing is not the way. Of course that statement already acknowledges that the stimulus was close to worthless and not worth the money expended.

                                                    {"commentId":10626184,"threadId":"720864","contentId":"3485048","authorDomain":"lampell"}
                                                    • 1 vote
                                                    Reply#20 - Wed Nov 11, 2009 7:09 PM EST
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