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New-home sales plunged in February to record low

Wed Mar 23, 2011 10:03 AM EDT
business, us, home, sales, new-home-sales
Derek Kravitz, AP Business Writer
< PreviousNext >
showing 1 of 5 photos
<p>In this photo made Feb. 17, 2011, construction continues on a row of condominiums in Cranberry, Pa., Butler County. Sales of new homes plunge to record low Wednesday, March 23, 2011, a dismal sign for an already-weak housing market.(AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)</p>

In this photo made Feb. 17, 2011, construction continues on a row of condominiums in Cranberry, Pa., Butler County. Sales of new homes plunge to record low Wednesday, March 23, 2011, a dismal sign for an already-weak housing market.(AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

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WASHINGTON — Sales of new homes plunged in February to the slowest pace on records dating back nearly half a century, a dismal sign for an already-weak housing market.

New-home sales fell 16.9 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 250,000 homes, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. It's the third straight monthly decline and far below the 700,000-a-year pace that economists view as healthy.

New-home sales now account for just 5 percent of total home sales so far this year. They typically represent closer to 15 percent in healthier housing markets. There were just 186,000 new homes available for sale in February, the lowest inventory in more than four decades.

The median price of a new home dropped nearly 14 percent to $202,100, the lowest since December 2003. The median is now 30 percent higher than the median price of resold homes — twice the typical markup.

In response, homebuilders are cutting their selling prices and building more inexpensive homes, pushing down sales prices. They are struggling to compete with a wave of foreclosures, which has lowered the price of previously occupied homes. High unemployment, tight credit and uncertainty over prices have also kept many potential buyers from making purchases.

"Falling housing prices of existing homes are robbing demand for new houses and until that changes, the housing market will be in trouble," said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an analyst at BNP Paribas.

Last year was the fifth straight year of declines for new-home sales after they reached record highs during the housing boom. Economists say it could take years before sales return to a healthy pace.

Poor sales of new homes mean fewer jobs in the construction industry, which normally powers economic recoveries. Each new home creates an average of three jobs for a year and $90,000 in taxes, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Many builders are waiting for new-home sales to pick up and for the glut of foreclosures to be reduced. But with 3 million foreclosures forecast this year nationwide, a turnaround isn't expected for at least three years.

"We fully expect further price declines in order to help clear inventory from the market although this problem is more acute in the existing home market than the new home market," said Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist for Miller Tabak + Co.

Homebuilders have taken notice. Residential construction has all but halted. Builders broke ground last month on the fewest homes in nearly two years. And building permits, a gauge of future construction, sank to their lowest in more than 50 years.

By contrast, sales of previously occupied homes have fallen by a more modest 3 percent in the past year. Prices have dropped more than 5 percent. In February, the median price for a resale was $156,100, according to the National Association of Realtors.

New-home sales fell to record lows last month in almost every region of the country. Sales dropped 57.1 percent in the Northeast, 27.5 percent in the Midwest, 14.7 percent in the West and 6.3 percent in the South. Those are record lows in each region except the West, which recorded its lowest sales pace in October.

Harsh winter weather that dumped record amounts of snowfall over much of the Northeast and Midwest, along with rare snowstorms in Texas, had an impact on February sales.

Given the pace of new-home sales, it would take nearly 9 months to clear them off the market. Economists say a six-month supply of homes is healthy.

© 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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  • Public Discussion (7)
Alba KerkyDeleted
jschurchin

Don't anyone worry though. The market is UP on this incredibly good news.

  • 1 vote
Reply#2 - Wed Mar 23, 2011 12:45 PM EDT
johnny angel

Pensacola has so many unsold existing homes; who would gamble on equity as a savings plan? Every third home is vacant or nearly so. No industry (jobs) on the books either.

  • 1 vote
Reply#3 - Wed Mar 23, 2011 1:19 PM EDT
Dave-535062

The housing industry has lost its way. It found itself 5+ years ago in an unusual position. Mortgage money was literally falling out of the sky. The caliber of the borrower and the lender wasn't even part of the equation. Not only did all these new mortgage brokers and banks give mortgages away but the poor saps who got suckered in to the deals had no idea how flimsy the lenders were. Wall Street was creating a new source of capital with even more abandonment of insight simply to over fill their pockets. And of course as we all know the whole bloody thing came tumbling down. What was the craziest thing was all the new homes and condos builders built, these are permanent structures, they can't go away when foreclosed on. They had to sell these grossly overbuilt dwellings and so stupidly thought this rain of money was the norm. Once built they were stuck with it. The buyers can take the foreclosure and go somewhere else, not the builders property, so now we've got fields and fields of empty homes or homes being rented to whoever can pay the rent. Which of course makes those other homeowners in the neighborhoods just thrilled to watch their property values plunge through no fault of their own.

So now things are being done in the opposite extremes. Mortgage money is very tight, readily available to those who don't need it, but not for those who rely on it. And of course builder's are not going to build new homes on a speculative basis, by contract with payment is how most hew homes are being built. And because of all that, used homes value have also crashed. So people that owe little but can't get near what their property is worth hang on and nobody moves in any direction. It will take a long time for their to be balance again as there was to some degree for 30 or so years preceeding the housing debacle.

    Reply#4 - Wed Mar 23, 2011 4:27 PM EDT
    Bighorn

    Who would be crazy enough to be the first one in a condo project when its likely that the rest of them will end up as rentals. Also why even buy a condo when you can get a used SFR and not have to deal with the HOA and the rest of the expenses that go along with a condo.

      Reply#5 - Wed Mar 23, 2011 4:28 PM EDT
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