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Consumer confidence lowest in 2 years.

Tue Aug 30, 2011 10:08 AM EDT
us-news, business, us, confidence, consumer-confidence
Anne D'Innocenzio, AP Retail Writer
< PreviousNext >
showing 1 of 3 photos
<p>In this Aug. 26, 2011 photo, a young shopper peers into a box containing a CAT motorized job site machine, as he waits to get through the check-out at Costco in Mountain View, Calif. A private research group said Tuesday, Aug. 30, 1011, that consumers’ confidence in the economy in August dropped almost 15 points to the lowest level since April 2009 as worries about the economy fueled the wildest stock market swings since the financial meltdown in 2008.  (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma)</p>

In this Aug. 26, 2011 photo, a young shopper peers into a box containing a CAT motorized job site machine, as he waits to get through the check-out at Costco in Mountain View, Calif. A private research group said Tuesday, Aug. 30, 1011, that consumers’ confidence in the economy in August dropped almost 15 points to the lowest level since April 2009 as worries about the economy fueled the wildest stock market swings since the financial meltdown in 2008. (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma)

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NEW YORK — Consumers' confidence in August dropped almost 15 points to the lowest level since April 2009 as worries about the economy fueled the wildest stock market swings since the financial meltdown in 2008.

At a time when Americans are increasingly worried about a weak job market, higher costs for food and clothing and recent stock market turmoil, the falling confidence numbers raise new concerns about their willingness to spend and jumpstart the economy. That's particularly important since consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of U.S. economic activity.

"Consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in August, as consumers grew significantly more pessimistic about the short-term outlook," said Lynn Franco, director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center in a statement.

The Conference Board said Tuesday that its Consumer Confidence Index fell to 44.5, down from a revised 59.2 in July. The number was the lowest level since April 2009 when the reading was 40.8. It also is far below the 53.3 that analysts had expected. A reading above 90 indicates the economy is on solid footing; above 100 signals strong growth.

A number of factors contributed to the index's decline. The index, which is based on a random survey of consumers sent to 5,000 households from Aug. 1 to Aug. 18, captured the wildest week on Wall Street since the financial crisis in 2008.

Four days into the survey period, on Aug. 5, S&P downgraded the U.S. federal debt and concern revived about the health of European banks. Following that, The Dow Jones industrial average had four consecutive days of 400-point swings for the first time in its 115-year history during the week that ended Aug. 12.

Besides debt talks and market fluctuations, Americans are still plagued by old economic worries. The nation's unemployment rate is stuck at 9 percent. Home values remain weak. And shoppers are facing rising costs for everything from food to clothing as retailers try to offset their higher costs for labor and materials.

As a result, one gauge of the index that measures how shoppers feel about the economy dropped to 33.3 from 35.7. Another measure that assesses shoppers' outlook over the next six months fell to 51.9, down from 74.9 last month.

Consumers' views on jobs, in particular, have become more pessimistic. Those claiming that jobs are "hard to get" increased to 49.1 percent from 44.8 percent, while those stating jobs are "plentiful" declined to 4.7 percent from 5.1 percent.

Those anticipating more jobs in the months ahead decreased to 11.4 percent from 16.9 percent, while those expecting fewer jobs increased to 31.5 percent from 22.2 percent. The proportion of consumers anticipating an increase in their incomes dropped to 14.3 percent from 15.9 percent.

© 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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  • Public Discussion (39)
Lady Bug

Quick someone get out the crystal ball and tell me, when will this all stop?

  • 6 votes
Reply#1 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:14 AM EDT
DRHunk

Its not Consumer Confidence, its Consumer lack of disposable income, no jobs and low wages = nobody is going to go shopping except for necessities.

When are the corporations going to realize they are killing the cow they drink from.

  • 1 vote
#1.1 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:34 PM EDT
nmbg

Corporations?!? Still flinging crap at the fan, and hoping some of it will stick, eh?

The efficient job-killing machine known as the Obuma regime, has spent the past 3 years conducting an all-out assault on America's economic engine, namely, the private sector. Every individual and every company with anything to safeguard has been hunkered down for 3 years, trying to ride out the Obuma storm.

Exactly who's killing the cow they drink from?

  • 2 votes
#1.2 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:53 PM EDT
Coral Atlas

I understand there are openings for rest room attendants in many private corporate executive restrooms.

Of course the GOTP's assault on our economy sure helped ..... after all which is more important? making OUR President look bad or the American people?

  • 1 vote
#1.3 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 1:37 PM EDT
DRHunk

I have not "hunkered down" I have actually expanded this year as most small businesses have, its the Large corporations with the real money that are hunkering down and killing the economy.

I know of a company that makes 84,000,000 a year and has 120 employees. Thier profit in 2010 was 14,280,000. If they wanted to they could actually increase the pay of every single employee by 60k a year on top of whatever they make now and it would only cost 7.2 million leaving 7 million in profits. Think they will do that....ummm no. They could lower their prices by 15%, think they will do that...umm no. So what will they do, they will pass the profits to the owner and then cry how unfiar the tax system is for the rich.

  • 3 votes
#1.4 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 2:28 PM EDT
kazutam

You know I work for a company kind of like that.

I don't think that the dollar amounts are quite that large, but still they have managed to turn a decent profit for the past few years.

YES, they could have taken that profit and given raises with it.

Instead they kept that profit, which allowed them to keep EVERYONE employed during the downturn a couple of years ago. Just recently they have INCREASED what they pay towards employee health care, lowering the portion that the employee must contribute for health insurance by almost 50 %. They ALSO have used that profit to give Christmas bonuses to their employee's(everyone BUT management) every year.

Recently(the beginning of the year) they started a second shift due to the improving business environment and have just started a THIRD shift running.

So sitting on profits until the business climate changes is NOT necessarilarly a "bad" thing.

The keep a CASH reserve of several million dollars available so that they can respond quickly without looking for financial backing. It just seems like good business sense to me.

    #1.5 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 2:50 PM EDT
    DRHunk

    All your claims are valid. Some businesses do not have such a high profit margin as the store above, it is E-commerce with low-mild overhead compared to other industries.

      #1.6 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 3:05 PM EDT
      Tim S.-560036

      kazutam,

      I don't think anyone disagrees that there are some ethical and smart businesses out there. Ones that know that the employees they have invested in and that are working hard for them should be treated well for the long term health of the company, if for no other reason. These companies need the support of the country, too. They need the playing field leveled so that those that are less long sighted use unfair business and labor practices to put them out of business.

        #1.7 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 9:39 PM EDT
        Reply
        Batman ReturnsDeleted
        mountainmike-1199289

        "Confidence" means consumers getting back to consuming. How do you do that, especially on non essential items when Wall Street is speculating their butts off on oil and food to cause national wide inflation.

        The basic concept here is multi national corporations wanting to outsource jobs and factories to exploit the cheap labor in other countries. Then they want to sell those goods here to jobless or under employed consumers to exploit the American market. That keeps the slave laborers in other countries poor but employed, and Americans here unemployed or under employed and poor.

        All of this at the same time corporations are not paying income taxes while have about 2 trillion dollars they are sitting on not reinvesting in America or in American jobs.

        • 6 votes
        Reply#3 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:22 AM EDT
        It Aint So

        Its not looking good for the "Commander in Training", now is it?

        • 7 votes
        Reply#4 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:27 AM EDT
        mountainmike-1199289

        It all depends on how you define "confidence." If you mean Americans buying things, that will happen sooner or later, whether or not they can afford to.

        Let's put it this way - WHO can they trust? Wall Street? The white collar criminal slobs that caused the recession are still there and none have been held fully accountable. Wall Street giants have not been divided up and the potential for the next recession is still there with their next BS scam.

        The US system has failed to protect the American people from Wall Street white collar criminal slobs. Why? There are five Wall Street lobbyists in Washington DC for every one legislator in congress. Our entire government has been bribed!

        Everyone owes it to themselves to watch "The Inside Job" - an award winning documentary on the 2008 recession. What's not to understand about the blatant derivatives/cdo fraud? Predatory lending developed hundreds of thousands of junk loans. They put these into bundles and the rating agencies lied their butts off because they are owned by Wall Street giants. Customers that bought those bundles were told they were a reasonable mix of AAA rated safe loans with low profits, full range of loans in the middle and then including BBB rated risky loans with high profits. When the buyers had time to research what they had bought, they found toxic loans that were beyond redemption. Wall Street $crewed the global economy out of $20 trillion dollars and somehow it is OK that all of the white collar criminal slobs that were involved have not been held fully accountable.

        Maybe the American people need to see news that restores their confidence, such as the CEO of Goldman Sachs getting prison time.

        • 3 votes
        #4.1 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 10:42 PM EDT
        andrew-geoDeleted
        Reply
        Starseeker

        Oddly consumer spending was up. Mixed signals I guess.

        • 2 votes
        Reply#5 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:40 AM EDT
        Lady Bug

        Really? I had read a few months ago that Housing was increasing..then I read it was the worse in years? OH...can someone just make up our minds...

        • 4 votes
        #5.1 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:43 AM EDT
        Starseeker

        http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/30/business/economy/us-consumer-spending-rallied-in-july.html

        I had to check... In case I drempt it.

        Still with the numbers so manipulated is it any wonder they are all over the place. Ok, really they just about make them up.

        We decided to exclude unemployed spending this month because seriously are you kidding me they got no shot at getting a job or having any money to spend... ;-)

        • 2 votes
        #5.2 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:55 AM EDT
        Dr Know

        They cherry pick. They report only the "unemployment" numbers as those filing new cases. They never mention those that have given up looking. Recently reported was the fact that many are deciding that less than full time is ok. This also means they have ramped back their spending on anything not considered 'essential'.

        A year ago hot dogs were 99 cents a package. Now they are $2.99. Hamburger is "on sale" at $2.49 a pound (was $1.49 "on sale"). The local grocery clerks are going to strike because the employers want them to pay SOMETHING for their health coverage.

          #5.3 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 1:49 PM EDT
          Reply
          Rixar13

          Consumer's views on jobs, in particular, have become more pessimistic.

          My only hope is Americans will realize the root of the problem, the G-NO-P and Tea-Baggies..

          • 5 votes
          Reply#6 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:41 AM EDT
          MalfunktionDeleted
          AndrewCarterDeleted
          Batman ReturnsDeleted
          Reply
          andrew-geoDeleted
          writer21177

          Not a lot of reasons for Americans to be positive about anything. Our elected officials are inept and our corporations are far more interested in investing in emerging economies than in the US. Nothing is getting cheaper. Wages for all but the highest paid are stagnant or going down. Working class/middle class Americans are feeling the pinch on their wallets big time.

          • 2 votes
          Reply#8 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 11:51 AM EDT
          bokij

          greate text nice

          • 1 vote
          Reply#9 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:04 PM EDT
          echo82

          Instead of focusing on spending cuts focus on job creation. People without jobs cannot spend money they do not have. Time for all of Washington to get their priorities straight.

          • 1 vote
          Reply#10 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:28 PM EDT
          Batman ReturnsDeleted
          Coral Atlas

          Capital is going where the natural resources exist and the cheapest labor and lately the most intelligent ....

          Americans are a part of the problem ... politics is a huge part of the problem .... the GOTP is an even bigger part of the problem.

          Cap profits and channel investment into broadband, energy self reliance and environmental clean-ups including the replenishment and conservation of nature.

          There's enough work there to keep us all busy for a century!

          Oh and send everyone back to school ... especially those who have been denied equal opportunity and access by the oligarchy that runs this nation.

            Reply#12 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 1:45 PM EDT
            RobDebo89

            Its clearly the fault of Bushs tsunami.

              Reply#13 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 1:48 PM EDT
              Tim S.-560036

              No duh!!!!! With unemployment hovering at 9%, ~20% real, and the stupidity of the conservatives in Congress worrying about short term debt during a recession and its aftermath, willing to default on our dept, and refusing to do anything to ANYTHING to get the economy moving if Obama agrees to it, what the @!$%# does anyone expect from the consumer?

              Consumer confidence sucked when Obama and the demwits took control. It has only worsened.

              And if the conservatives and the religious right would agree to ANYTHING to help stimulate jobs over the last 3 years we might make some progress to lowering unemployment and that would boost consumer confidence. Tax cuts to people that aren't working is like pissing in a river to lower the flood stage. It is moronic. And that was the contribution of the morons that call them selves fiscally conservative to the ARRA. They should do us all a favor and resign or drop dead. The rapture that they are waiting for would be an excellent start. Drop the real unemployment and underemployment rates down to 5% and you will see the deficit disappear and the debt start to shrink.

                Reply#14 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 1:52 PM EDT
                Dr Know

                Um It IS the Obama government falsely reporting the unemployment numbers. There is plenty things wrong with the Federal Government. The Demoplicans and Republicrats are cut from the same cloth.

                • 1 vote
                #14.1 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 1:56 PM EDT
                Tim S.-560036

                It is every administration that falsely reports unemployment numbers if one really wants to know the numbers that gave up looking or accepted jobs for which they are over qualified. And Reagan began counting the Armed Services in the employment figures. This had not been done previously. That adds a significant number to the employed number.

                  #14.2 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 9:46 PM EDT
                  Reply
                  j-bird-2923980

                  It is laughable to read the defenders of the wealthy's comments. I am not a Democrat I am not a Republican. I am able to distinguish fact from bull@!$%#. Years of what were termed upon their granting as "unfunded tax cuts" as well as wars on several fronts for over ten years, not to mention the very expensive covert operations ongoing throughout the world have sapped the economy. The death blow came from an unregulated corrupt investment banking industry fronted by the wealthy that has brought the U.S economy, the world economy to its knees. The apologists for the wealthy and criminal diatribe by people like Eric Cantor who are obsessed with the defeat of Barrack Obama to the extent that they will undermine policies they themselves previously proffered to destroy any reelection hopes of Obama is a disgusting tactic formulated on the backs of a disappearing middle class. It is one thing to have an ideology that is different from any given President and to be willing to work; whether as a backer of a different candidate, or as a candidate yourself to bring about policies you endorse. It is an entirely different and corrupt course of action to undermine any and all policies beneficial to society, to attack women's rights, eliminate regulatory body's for the sole purpose of increased profits to insure "your" candidates success. What goes around comes around, the political costs will be the highest paid in generations. Conservatives have doomed themselves along with much of the populous, the pendulum will swing in another direction as history has shown us.

                  • 1 vote
                  Reply#15 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 2:21 PM EDT
                  ma91744-1401618

                  No jobs; no purchase or no jobee; no buyee.

                  • 1 vote
                  Reply#16 - Tue Aug 30, 2011 2:47 PM EDT
                  andrew-geoDeleted
                  andrew-geoDeleted
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