Testing 'The Curse of Knowledge'

At right are three figures. In Figure 1, Sally places a ball in the box, and goes to the kitchen to get a drink. While she is in the kitchen, Ted comes along and takes the ball, placing it in the bucket.

9

9

I offer this seed in honor of all the Vine lefties who are so certain that they know what The Great Satan has been up to in Iraq since 2003.

1

0

Global Warming, How certain are you?

Lets be reasonable in our dialog here on the vine. Only a handful of us are scientist, we are mostly intelligent people who read a lot. As a result, our opinions are almost exclusively based on what we read, not our own scientific tests and scientific modeling.

15

88

Tyranny of certainty

If you are right, you are simply right. Right?

4

2